Wednesday has lots of news ahead of NFP

US News Scheduled For Wednesday is loaded  as we lead up to Friday’s Non Farm Payroll report. ADP Job numbers come out at 8:15 followed by the GDP and Corporate Profits report at 8:30am. Chicago PMI then follows at 9:45am.

Tune in to my US GDP report  webinar here on FX Street starting at 7:30am where we will look at the fundamentals and technical’s  before during and after the news!   See Link Below to register

Charts of Future Past - Before and After - Click to Enlarge Chart Images

Below are three of my recent posted charts before and after - side by side.  

GBP-Yen Sept 18-29 Daily Chart - Shows the completion of the Double Top and “M” pattern that is continuing to trade to the downside inside a nice trend channel.

GBP –USD Sept  18 – 29 Daily Chart - Shows the Head and Shoulder Pattern completing the formation that was in progress back on Sept 18 has now gone “to and through”  the “Neck Line”.  The question now is: Will the Sterling bounce and correct to retest the neckline, or continue to the 200% extension target of the Pattern… or go sideways..?

AUD-JPY Sept 23-29 4 Hour Chart – Triangle with Inverse Head and Shoulder Pattern worked out beautifully to the Downside as it now looks more like a Double Top and “M” formation – The previous post from September 23 is now complete! Price has now retraced quickly back to the trend line.

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FOMC Announcement - Live Webinar This Wed Sept 23 Click Here to Register

US GDP Report – Live Webinar – Wed Sep 30 Click Here to Register

By Jerry Furst - Sr Analyst “1st on Forex”

US Economy Going and Growing Up Fast? -  Not So… Fast!

The Consensus Range for Friday’s  US GDP  is -2.8 to 0.7, with a consensus number of -0.7%  growth . This is highly optimistic since last month’s GDP number came in at a negative -5.5%. The “rose colored glasses and windows” crowd would love to claim the worst is over.

Jobs is the Answer

The reality is that the jobless rate is still ugly and new jobless claims are still rising. Anecdotal  talk of extended benefits being pulled back may soon paint a inaccurate picture that the jobless rate could be artificially made to look better - sooner – as continuing unemployment claims will be dropping soon as benefits expire and people fall off the unemployment benefits list as “no longer seeking employment”.

S&P 500 test of 1,000 Imminent ? and then Lookout Below?

The S&P 500 is flirting with 1,000 – A significant psychological support – resistance level.

My previous post of July 16^th showed the S&P 500 grinding towards the 956 neckline of a massive Inverse Head and Shoulder Pattern going back to January, and the Failed Head and Shoulder of the past few months.  That target was quickly achieved a few days later and promptly blasted up targeting the 1,000 mark.

S&P 500 4 Hour Chart (click to Enlarge)

This may indeed have been a significant short squeeze. If this 1,000 level is not significantly breached to the upside, then the weaker short positions that were just squeezed may have been removed – possibly clearing the way for a massive move down?

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US GDP Report This Friday 11:30GMT (7:30am Eastern) Click Here

The Week Ahead Every Monday at 16:00 GMT (12 Noon Eastern)- Click Here

Jerry Furst  is an active trader, educator, and Founder of Investors Education Network (IEN), He is a Mentor and Trading Coach to Select Clients  Click Here for a Free Self Evaluation Survey.

Lots of Scheduled News On and Off the Calendar

FOMC Statement Awaits on Wednesday

Although no interest rate change is expected, the accompanying statement from Bernanke and the Fed will be scrutinized for signs of Future Policy Insights. Expectations for a Rate Hike by December and insights on the Quantitative Easing policy may have market moving consequences.

Live Coverage - 1st on Forex Webinar will be broadcast on FX Street - register below.

Economic Contraction Continues

On Thursday the US GDP will be report on the current economic status. The current consensus number is expected to show -5.7% growth.

Live Coverage - 1st on Forex Webinar will be broadcast on FX Street - register below.

Euro Under Pressure?

EURGBP - 60 Min Chart Above (click to enlarge) Sports a Head and Shoulder pattern in play and grinding towards completion of the pattern target of approx 0.842

Three “1^st on Forex” Webinars This Week - Register for free access

·         The Week Ahead - Every Monday 12 Noon EST (16:00 GMT) - Click Here to Register

·         FOMC Announcement - Wed 1:30pm EST (13:00 GMT)- Click Here to Register

·         US GDP Report - Thu 7:30am EST (13:00 GMT)  - Click Here to Register

Jerry Furst  is an active trader, educator, and Founder of Investors Education Network (IEN), He is a Mentor and Trading Coach to Select Clients  Click Here for a Free Self Evaluation Survey.

US Congress Returns to Work after “Santelli” Tea Parties

The Sunday morning news shows featured pundits and politicians squabbling about the “astro-turf” grass roots protests last week - and giving CNBC’s Rick Santelli the credit for “re-starting” the US “revolution”.  It is interesting to watch as the mainstream media attempts  to marginalize and dismiss the growing anger of the general taxpaying public aka: “the silent majority”. <– Watch this Spot!

Meanwhile - the US Congress Returns to Work

Isn’t it amazing how one political side calls the other “uncompromising” and then does exactly what they accuse of the other! A case in point is the unilateral “Cap and Trade” proposal. Democrat Henry Waxman says he will not compromise on the bill despite the obvious criticism that this would only force the creation of pollution - and jobs - outside of the US borders.

Euro - In the Zone ?

The ECB is squabbling about lowering rates to Zero - yet their continues to be open discussion of taking extra ordinary measures… Someting else to watch…

A Look at the Charts

The EUR-USD and USD-CHF normally display a direct inverse correlation.

A look at the Daily Charts above (click to Enlarge) of both of these may dispel any Euro strengthening for the time being as the USD-CHF seems to be trending higher and the Euro is Testing Support.

USD-CAD - Triangle in Play?

USD-CAD April 19, 2009 and Previous Post from April 12, 2009 (click to Enlarge) 

My blog post last week on April 12 showed the Canadian Dollar testing support with a nicetriangle pattern that has re-appeared. That support was shattered the next day and the USD-CAD seems to be grinding it’s way further south for now.   

Tune in to the “1^st on Forex” Webinars on FX Street

Every Monday - The Week Ahead at 16:00 GMT (12 Noon Eastern)- Click Here

Next Wednesday April 29 Live Webinar Coverage of  the US GDP and FOMC Meeting   Register Now

Jerry Furst  is an active trader, educator, and Founder of Investors Education Network (IEN), He is a Mentor and Trading Coach to Select Clients  Click Here for a Free Self Evaluation Survey.

Another Week - Another Batch of Bad News

•  Weekly Jobless Claims - Worse Ever!
•  Bank of Amerika Chief - Subpoenaed Over Pay Bonuses
•  AIG Needs Billion$ More
•  General Motors Heading for Bankruptcy
•  Iran ready to make some Nukes
•  North Korea Ready to Launch Them
•  That’s just Thursday’s short list from the US
•  Europe and Asia’s Data is Debatably Worse!
•  But Wait…. There’s More… to come!

US GDP Expected to Come Out at -5.4 %

Tune in to the free webinar on FX Street

Starts at 7:30am EST - Click Here to Register

Chart Patterns Setting Up

EUR-USD  1 Hour Chart - Shows Triangle Pattern

 USD-CAD - Daily Triangle Pattern - Consolidation Coming to the Breaking Point?

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Jerry Furst is an active trader, educator, and Founder of Investors Education Network (IEN), He is a Mentor and Trading Coach to Select Clients

Click Here for a Free Self Evaluation Survey.

Festival of Lights - Happy Happy - Joy Joy

Holiday Greetings to All - The Calendar is light this week - as it should be - and to give the volatile markets a much needed rest and break - but will the volatility calm down as the banks and corporations around the world turn off the office lights? A Happy Hanukkah to all celebrating the festival of lights.

Light News Calendar

There are several GDP Reports scheduled to be released for the US, UK, Canada, and New Zealand. Will the numbers really be a surprise to anyone if they come out a bit worse than expected?

Tuesday will have the UK GDP released at 4:30 EST and can serve as a heads up as to the volatility for the US GDP at 8:30 EST.  Other news on Tuesday for the US include Consumer Sentiment, New and Existing Home Sales Data, and Investor Confidence all coming out at 10 EST.

Wednesday has Jobless claims- Durable Goods - and Personal Income and Spending Data also clustered at 8:30 EST. The EIA will release both Petroleum and Natural Gas data on Wednesday to accommodate the Christmas Holiday on Thursday.  Canada releases GDP data at 8:30 on Wednesday.

For more scheduled news events … Check out my consolidated event calendar and

You are invited to attend my weekly webinar “The Week Ahead” to register click the link below.

The Week Ahead Calendar and Webinar - Click Here

Jerry Furst  is an active trader, educator, and Founder of Investors Education Network (IEN), He is a Mentor and Trading Coach to Select Clients  Click Here for a Free Self Evaluation Survey.

Good News and Signs Emerge

The US Consumer is feeling more optimistic, and the President Elect continues to show he is working hard at putting together his team to address the US and World economic situation.

The Currencies React

At 8:30 the news hit the charts that the US GDP came in at the consensus number of -0.5% growth.

The Pound Sterling rose from 1.5000 to 1.5400 in an hours time!

Dollar Losing to the Loonie? Chart above shows a possible beginning of a new Stair Step pattern down.

Jerry Furst is Sr Technical and Market Analyst and Founder of Investors Education Network (IEN), He is a an active trader, educator, mentor, and trading coach to Select Clients  Click Here for your Free Trader Self Evaluation Survey.

The Dollar - Gives and Takes

Jumbo Jets and Jobs Anyone?

Costa Rican Telemarketing @ the Beach?

Joke of the Day: What do you get when you put some laid off Airline workers, cellphone makers, and wall street types together at the unemployment line talking about pensions and vacations? Send me your punch line. (I’m thinking Quentin Tarantino for some reason)

Technically Speaking - More Patterns I See

The Canadian Dollar Setting Up Again?

(Click to Enlarge Chart)

USD-CAD Symmetrical Triangle

appears to be setting up on the 60 minute chart as of 1:30am October 31. Fibonacci levels coincide with the potential price pattern targets at 1.2540 for the upside and 1.700 for the downside support level.

Look back at my previous posts from October 21 - 26 for a text book example of a triangle pattern completing quite nicely.

Live Webinar Monday - The Week Ahead - Free Registration
Click Here to Register for the Monday Nov 3 “1st on Forex” The Week Ahead Webinar  - broadcast every Monday at 12 Noon EDT - on FX Street via Hotcomm.

Jerry Furst  is an active trader, educator, and Founder of Investors Education Network (IEN), He is a Mentor and Trading Coach to Select Clients  Click Here for a Free Self Evaluation Survey.  

700 Pip Targets Hit in 48 Hours - Dollar Continues Amazing Rally - Technicals Look Great

Greenspans Admits to Flawed Reality of Greeds Span

The Senate oversight committee with testimony from former chairman Greenspan, Treasury Secretary Snow, and SEC Commissioner Cox was barely covered by the networks. It amazes me that the pundits and judge Judy can talk over and over rule what could have been the most important testimony broadcast to date as to what happened and why there was so little oversight.   Given the fact that Tax payer dollars are being used - you would think the tax payers should be given the opportunity to listen to the testimony - un interrupted if they wanted to.  But no reason to bore the people with the facts from the sources directly - better we get some 4th party opinion to talk over the testimony in between commercials.

The Week Ahead - Calendar and Webinars

 Summarized Scheduled Economic Calendar - Click Here

***  Attend A Free Live Market Coverage and Technical Analysis Webinar ***

Click Here to Register for this weeks “1st on Forex” The Week Ahead Webinar  - Every Monday at 12 Noon EDT -

FOMC and US GDP Report Live Webinars Ths week - Click Here to Register

Jerry Furst  is an active trader, educator, and Founder of Investors Education Network (IEN), He is a Mentor and Trading Coach to Select Clients  Click Here for a Free Self Evaluation Survey.

Looking for a Bottom? -  Catching A Falling —— 

Last week is indicative of the type of headlines and panics worthy of a possible bottom. I’m usually looking for the scapegoat being handcuffed and paraded infront of  televsion cameras - last time I think it was Martha Stewart and some cable television guy …

However - this trader understands that most market bottoms usually come in with a thud, and I am just not convinced that we have heard it yet - although a 40 foot crater at the Pakistan Marriott is a telling sign - nothing for us to worry about…

Photo ops of the entire US Government represented by The Treasury, The Federal Reserve, The Speaker of the House, and the Senate - at the Presidents Invitation to…. spend 700 Billion to prop up a “house of cards”  that the president just recently learned was a bit bigger than his. 

Are We There Yet?  A Look at The Vix and S&P 500

Currency Markets Acting Well Technically - Hypoyhetically - Not Speaking

Currency Traders with their heads in the sand and only watching the charts may be doing quite nicely, as the trend and momentum trading is nothing less than excellent…. There are other issues that are currently hypothetical that I will not delve in to, but the possibility of extremely unexpected surprises are possible that might affect the currency markets and the way many of us trade…

The Week That Was and… Will Be?

Regsiter for the Free Webinars This Week

Monday 12 noon EST (16:00 GMT) The Week Ahead - Register

Friday 7:30am EST (13:00 GMT) US GDP Report Live Coverage - Register

The 1st on Forex - Week Ahead - Summarized Calendar and Webinar

Click Here for Summarized Economic Calendar for the Week Ahead

Jerry Furst  is an active trader, educator, and Founder of Investors Education Network (IEN), He is a Mentor and Trading Coach to Select Clients  Click Here for a Free Self Evaluation Survey.