Posted on May 5, 2009 at 14:13 in Uncategorized by Pierre CharleboisNo Comments »

The EUR/USD has struck the bottom trend-line.

The next move should determine the short term trend.


Posted on May 5, 2009 at 10:06 in Uncategorized by Pierre CharleboisNo Comments »

It is possible to draw converging trend-lines on the EUR/USD 1 hour chart that create the appearance of a diagonal.

In Elliott Wave terms these diagonal appear in many places and in this circumstance it could be a 5 wave “C” wave completing a series of waves.

Having said that, we will only know this to be the outcome if we make another attempt (or two) to meet the upper trend line followed by a reversal at or very near the lower trend-line.

I think the areas to observe for the immediate is the lower trend-line that appears to be the target for the current downward move and then see if a reversal upward ensues. The target in the medium term could then be the upper trend-line.

Bear in mind that a successful completion of the pattern calls for a reversal.

A clean break of the upper trend line negates the pattern and suggests further EURO strength.