With reference to the harmonic patterns that we discuss in the FxStreet webinars, there have been a lot of questions on how to classify the different harmonic patterns.
I had put up a post earlier on the same subject and am repeating it again for reference.
Classification of the different harmonic patterns….the way I see them.
Now, I have not come across this kind of classification anywhere & I could be wrong in my conclusions.
But over the number of years that I have been studying the Fibonacci ratios & harmonic patterns, I have observed these subtle differences.
First and foremost, let us understand what a harmonic pattern is.
A harmonic pattern is simply -
An impulsive wave (X to A) followed by two corrective waves (A to B and C to D) which ultimately gives rise to a larger impulsive wave (the price targets)

The important points that one should follow are -
- The retracement of X-A to point B usually identifies the kind of harmonic pattern that should ultimately form.
- Point C is generally the weak link in the pattern. The retracement of A-B to point C could form at any fib ratio, right from 0.382 to 0.886.
- Point D is the ultimate confirmation point of a harmonic pattern. ‘D’ will always form at a confluence of 2 fib levels (depending on the type of pattern) and these fib levels are very accurate. The 2 fib ratios (the Retracement of X-A AND the Projection of B-C) form precisely at the expected levels.
Let’s have a look at the specifics of the retracement ‘B’ (of the move from X to A) –
The Bat pattern -
In this pattern the first corrective wave to ‘B’ is a shallow correction, and retraces to 38.2 to 50.0. In that case, the second corrective wave to ‘D’ should form at 0.886 of X-A.
(Note: Most of the times ‘B’ forms at the 38.2 level.)

The Gartley pattern -
In this pattern the first corrective wave to ‘B’ is a specific correction to 61.8 of X-A. In that case, the second corrective wave to ‘D’ should form at 0.786 of X-A.
(Note: This is a very specific pattern and the two corrective waves will always form at the 61.8 and 78.6 levels precisely.)

The Butterfly pattern –
In this pattern the first corrective wave to ‘B’ is a deep correction, and retraces to 78.6 of X-A. In that case, the second corrective wave to ‘D’ should form at 1.272 of X-A.

You will notice that the location of ‘D’ is based on the fib ratios of X-A, and the fib ratios of B-C have not been taken into consideration.
This is because I have observed that the B-C projections may vary from one fib level to another, but the fib ratios of X-A always form at the precise levels.
Let us have a look at another harmonic pattern.
The Crab pattern -
This is a pattern which does not occur very frequently, and one can only identify it after the entire 5 wave structure has been completed.
This is because, unlike the previous patterns the first corrective wave to ‘B” is somewhat subjective. In fact, the identifying factor for this pattern is the second corrective wave to ‘D’ which is a very deep wave.
In this pattern the first corrective wave to ‘B’ could be anywhere from 38.2 to 61.8.
The second corrective wave, subsequently to ‘D’ is a deep wave & should form at 1.618 of X-A.

Finally, some amount of discretion is required, since price will never behave exactly the way we expect.
But this classification has given me an edge for the anticipated price moves & I hope it does the same for you.
From my experience, I have seen that it is the Gartley & the Butterfly which occur more often & I would concentrate on these 2 patterns.
Sunil.
Aiming for the trader's success by creating awareness of the 3M's: Mind, Money & Method by 

Thank You.
Bearish Gartley on the QQQQ to occur?
http://www.StockSharePublishing.com/ChartLib/QQQQ_01_19_19_49_1232412592.png
Hello BobD,
While the harmonic patterns are certainly effective, one must look at the overall trend to get a confirmation.
The moving averages plotted on your chart, are indicating a bullish move and one must keep this in mind.
In this Gartley pattern, price seems to have followed the fib levels quite precisely and in such contradicting situations, it is the trade management which would enable a trader to minimize the risks.
One way of looking at it, is to designate the expected target levels of the Gartley & take profits as & when these levels are met with. In this way, even if price reverses for some reason, you should have walked away from the trade with some profits.
Sunil.
Hi Sunil.
Thanks for posting this pattern system in such detail.
Some interesting patterns on the EUR/USD. I’m sure you would have some interesting observations to make about them.
Please have a look at my last two posts.
http://blogs.fxstreet.com/disciplined/2009/01/21/eurusd-repeating-patterns/
http://blogs.fxstreet.com/disciplined/2009/01/21/eurusd-on-watch-to-confirm-trend-reversal/
Cheers
Pierre
Hi Pierre,
First & foremost, I apologize for the late (very late -:) response to your comments.
The reason was that I was looking to post certain charts showing exactly what you pointed out.
But in the meanwhile, before it gets delayed to the next year -:)), I want to make a few observations…which I am sure you will agree with.
I do follow your blog posts & one factor that we both have in common is we don’t use indicators at all.
This is saying a lot & I do hope that the traders who follow these blog posts, notice this important point.
It is price which is the ultimate indicator and if one learn to read the price movement, you really don’t need anything else.
Which brings me to your point of the “repeating patterns”. These patterns along with patterns such as “measured channels” occur all the time and trader can definitely get an edge by following such patterns.
I will post a couple of charts based on these, which should give the traders a better idea of looking at the price action….only.
Thank you for bringing up this topic.
Regards,
Sunil.
Thanks Sunil for for the link you posted in today’s webinar.