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USD/JPY Update - After the Break

Posted on September 5, 2008 at 13:41 in Analysis by James Chen

USD/JPY Daily Chart

( Please click on the accompanying chart to enlarge.)

As noted on Thursday’s Chart of the Day (click here), if price broke down below the medium-term uptrend channel (which it ultimately did late on Thursday), price would target key support to the downside around the 105.50 area. As it turned out, price did in fact hit 105.52 Friday morning before bouncing back up. Going forward, the broken channel support line should now act as some sort of resistance to the upside (support becomes resistance). Downside support continues to reside around the 105.50 region for the near-term. More updates to come as price action develops further.

- James

James Chen is the Chief Technical Analyst at FX Solutions, a leading Forex broker. He is also a registered Commodity Trading Advisor (CTA) and a Chartered Market Technician (CMT) Level 3 candidate. At FX Solutions, Mr. Chen writes daily currency analysis, conducts forex trading seminars, and has authored numerous articles on currency trading and technical analysis for major financial publications. His upcoming book, Essentials of Foreign Exchange Trading (John Wiley & Sons), will be released in early 2009.

7 Responses to “USD/JPY Update - After the Break”

  1. on 08 Sep 2008 at 6:11 am1St_Fx

    Hi James,
    Do you observe usd/yen form’s wedge, if it than, support and resistance is very near,i am looking for 109.25/109.50 as resistance and 107.80/107.30 as support levels. what do you think.

  2. on 08 Sep 2008 at 12:24 pm2James Chen

    Hi St_Fx,

    Thanks for your comment and observation! I’m not actually seeing what you’re seeing. Which timeframe are you looking on? Thanks.

    - James

  3. on 08 Sep 2008 at 12:53 pm3St_Fx

    both daily and weekly charts

  4. on 08 Sep 2008 at 1:03 pm4James Chen

    Hi St_Fx,

    Yes, I see that wedge that was tentatively broken down, and I have the same support region, but I don’t see the same resistance.

    - James

  5. on 08 Sep 2008 at 1:12 pm5St_Fx

    correct me if I’m wrong , i am looking this as bounce for larger decline , invalidate if break of upside resistance 109.50 or 110.00 level and correct when 107.30/107.00 breaks below.

  6. on 08 Sep 2008 at 1:17 pm6St_Fx

    its 8/15 and 8/25 highs that develops presser line form 8/15, 110.64 high’s.

  7. on 08 Sep 2008 at 1:23 pm7James Chen

    I see. I believe you are referring to a triangle, not a wedge. If that is the case, yes, then I see your point. The wedge that I see is different, but the triangle is what you described, I believe.

    - James

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