(Please click on the accompanying chart to enlarge.)
Price action on the EUR/USD daily chart, as shown, has been coiling up within a triangle consolidation, likely in preparation for a major impending directional move. Like other pairs that are currently entrenched within triangles, EUR/USD has been respecting the borders of its triangle, unwilling to commit to a decisive direction as of yet. A triangle break to the upside could signal a possible reversal of the prevailing downtrend, with major resistance around the 1.3250-1.3300 zone. An eventual break to the downside of the triangle could signal a continuation of the prevailing downtrend, and should meet key support around the 1.2330 region.
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Yes I would agree that the trend downward for the EURUSD on a daily chart seems to have run out of steam. If you move down? to 1 hr charts with about 1000 obs. displayed the trend upward is more evident (ignoring of course the intraday trend shifts).
Hi James, this a great blog…also fx solutions has a pretty good platform.
for you EUR/USD analysis, are you trading it soley off a daily chart or are you looking for entry exit off the hourly or 4 hour? Also is your play to take a breakout or wait for a pullback after the breakout?
thanks for your comments.
Pennant Flag suggests we are to see a move. Wall Street Cash suggests that the current bullishness and move into risk assets could see some upside for the EUR 130-13250
Hi R.P., Jose, and Nick,
Thank you very much for your comments. Nice observations. And Jose, to answer your questions, I usually look for the big technical picture on the daily charts, and then go down to 4-Hour and hourly, just like you mentioned, for potential entry opportunities. As for the breakout play, I will usually look for a bar close beyond the line of break, and then the next bar continuing in the direction of break beyond the breakout bar, with tight risk management. But sometimes I will wait for a pullback. Hope that helps. Thank you!
James Chen