Forex Trading Today
  • Home
  • Join our trading community
  • Back to FXstreet.com

Forex Trading Today

A Blog of Commentary and Ideas from an FXstreet Premium Member by Tim Salem (CVJ)

Subscribe

Subscribe Subscribe Subscribe using Netvibes
Or subscribe via email:

Categories

  • Commentary
  • FXstreet Premium Thoughts
  • Live Webinars
  • Market Analysis
  • Trading Ideas
  • Uncategorized

Archives

Recent Comments

  • Ramon Huss on A Fond Farewell Everyone!
  • ed ponsi on A Fond Farewell Everyone!
  • Goncalo moreira on A Fond Farewell Everyone!
  • Raghee Horner on A Fond Farewell Everyone!
  • Tim Salem (CVJ) on Ranges of Accumulation Seen Moving Forward

Tags

accumulation appreciation AUD/JPY AUD/USD Cable channel consolidation continuation correction correlation crude crude oil currency Data dollar Dow England equity EUR/JPY EUR/USD euro Europe exchange Fibonacci formation GBP/JPY GBP/USD gold interest rate Japan oil pattern pound Price range resistance retracement Risk Aversion S&P 500 sentiment support USD/CAD USD/CHF USD/JPY Yen

FXstreet.com Weblogs

  • CEO's Weblog
  • Wayne McDonell
  • Dr. S. Sivaraman
  • Valeria Bednarik
  • James Chen
  • Ross Yamashita
  • Raghee Horner
  • Ron Schelling
  • César B. Leiceaga
  • Ian Coleman
  • Greg Michalowski
  • Mike Baghdady
  • Dale J. Pinkert
  • Trader of the Year

Links

We Continue with our Two Cousins…Gold and Euro!

Posted on December 29, 2008 at 21:09 in Market Analysis by Tim Salem

 

Happy “Thin” Tuesday !

Yes…our “thin” Volume continues all across the Markets…and with plenty of illiquid Price action thrown in there as well !

This becomes an oxymoron, if you will…as high and low liquidity can equal low and high volatility and vice versa!

In this case…we do have recent geopolitical events in the Middle East which helped these two cases…but thats’ another topic!

Let’s jump right in and have a look at our Gold and Euro Dollar Hourly views from yesterday and see where we are….

Immediately, we notice our “general” correlation here has certainly “unwound and decoupled”!

My thought yesterday on a fundamental difference with these two has been validated.

We do, indeed, have Gold continuing its’ appreciation…and holding its’ Value…

And…

We do, indeed, have the Euro also continuing its’ appreciation…and skiing straight down the slope !

 As of this writing…about 2:10 GMT…here are the Charts.

 

(click once for captures)

 

 

 

 

Now…some macro-Fundamental points that we must consider in why our Euro/Gold “cousins” are not hanging out together on the Winter Ski slopes lately!…  

First of all, the EuroZone is truly feeling what all of us have been feeling around the world: a state of risk aversion and fear with probable Interest Rate declines in the months to come.

Despite the generally “hawkishly firm” stance of the ECB and it’s continued focus on Inflation…the world is surely proving this “sentiment” to be ill-advised.

Of course, more verification comes from the weak German and overall EZ Data Points lately and while we still may appreciate…the Euro Bull is beginning to tire.

The Chart of the Euro above illustrates this and also signals weak momentum and sentiment with such a robust reversal in Price behavior.

A significant breach of the “Basing” area there will take us to the 1.3820 Support level.

 

…And what of my old “girlfriend”, Gold?

We should find Her potentially revisiting the major Resistance at $890 and if this is not breached…a potential retracement to the $865 38.2% Fib/dynamic area is highly probable.

 

 

Tomorrow…I would like to revisit one of my Posts from last week on the Euro Pound and see how we are faring with the “Battle of the Channel” !

:-)

 

 

 

Tags: correlation, decoupled, ECB, euro, gold, liquidity, markets, Ski, Skiing, unwound

Comments are closed.

Theme by Forex Street Powered by Wordpress

The comments and posts published in this blog ARE NOT trading recommendations. They can NEVER be considered as trading calls or advices. If you decide to use the information offered here for your real trading it is at your own risk.

Trading foreign exchange on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to trade foreign exchange you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss of some or all of your initial investment and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with foreign exchange trading and seek advice from an independent financial advisor if you have any doubts.

Opinions expressed at FXstreet.com are those of the individual authors and do not necessarily represent the opinion of FXstreet.com or its management. FXstreet.com has not verified the accuracy or basis-in-fact of any claim or statement made by any independent author: errors and Omissions may occur.

Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website, by FXstreet.com, its employees, partners or contributors, is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. FXstreet.com will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation to, any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.

The use of this website constitutes acceptance of our user agreement. Please read our privacy policy and legal disclaimer.

© 2010 "FXstreet.com. The Forex Market" All Rights Reserved.