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GBP/JPY Looks to an IntraDay Bear Flag Formation for Yen Srength I and II

Posted on May 7, 2009 at 20:17 in Commentary, Market Analysis by Tim Salem

 

 Greetings, Everyone for a Quick Update to our Pound Yen Post from 1:15 GMT!

( The original Post is Below… )

We look to an Hourly Double-Bottom Formation that has Negated our Initial Bear Flag, as Price Breaks the Flag into Appreciation.

Here is the current Hourly Capture, so give it a Click… and Post-Time is 6:50 GMT.

 

 

 

We will continue to check with this Cross throughout the Day, and I will be back with you just prior to NFP, where we will check the Majors and see where our Consolidation from the “Currency Majors Technical Perspective” Report has progressed!

:-)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Greetings for a Brief Update ahead of NFP in under 12 Hours!

While Most Majors venture off into “Quiet Consolidation” ahead of the Data in the morning ( my time )… We look to the Yen Crosses for any glimmer of Activity as we move through the Asian Session.

( Of course… a busy Day Wednesday with the Stress Tests, Bernanke Rhetoric, Trichet Rhetoric, ECB and BoE Holding Rates Steady, etc…  so I will not cover those Macro-Fundamental Issues here, as I am sure you are all deeply aware of them and their Significance. )

In response to an Inquiry from Wednesday’s “BoE/ECB Q & A Live Coverage”  I did with our FXstreet Advisor, Valeria Bednarik… I had mentioned how I like to work with “Shielded” Markets concerning any Data Points.

For Example… in my personal View… I find it well-suited to take Consideration of a Euro Cross-Rate Unit in dealing with European Data, as opposed to looking “Directly into the Eye” of the EUR/USD Itself.

In this fashion… I can build Positions where I am “involved” in the relevant Currency… but in more of a “Risk-Tolerant Indirect” way.

That brings us to the Yen Crosses, and our Veteran “Dollar and Yen Risk-Appetite/Risk Aversion” Equation moving into Non-Farm Payroll Data.

The Pound Yen, as most of the Yen Crosses, has had significant Appreciation of Late and now looks for Macro-Corrections.

On the Unit Itself… our earlier Thoughts On the Massive Weekly Dynamic Fibonacci Resistance of 38.2% @ 148.83/149.12 “Cluster” Resistance Area came to Fruition, as we now look to Correct this Directionality from an IntraDay Perspective.

Here is the Hourly to see the various Levels, so give it a Click for Brief Commentary.

Post-Time is 1:15 GMT.

 

 

 

 

 

As always… Please join me for the “Currency Majors Technical Perspective” around 7:00 GMT, to be immediately followed by a Blog Update… as we await what just may be somewhat “Positive Better-Than-Expected” NFP Data…

 

 

P.S. - ( Did I really say that about NFP Data Points??? …  Hmmmm…  It sounds so “foreign” since I have not heard this in such a long time… hee hee hee…     ;-)

Tags: bank, currency, Data, dollar, employment, England, Europe, exchange, interest rate, Japan, Non-Farm Payroll, Pair, stress, test, Yen

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