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The Yen Continues As Our Risk Aversion Leader With Conviction

Posted on July 8, 2009 at 1:50 in Commentary, Market Analysis by Tim Salem

 

Greetings once again, Everyone and Welcome To Wednesday!

Let’s continue our numerous references and discussions to our Two “Risk-Aversion Partners-In-Crime”, The Yen and The Dollar.

Similar to my enjoyment and use of Market Correlations… we always must be aware of the “Caveat Emptor” that drives these Two as well: The Correlation Activity moves In and Out of Each Other with Consistency.

In the same fashion that we are mindful of, say, The Dow and S&P Correlations to The Yen Crosses… we are always Mindful of the fact that ALL  of these Units must first “Stand Alone” with their own characteristics… as their Correlating Activity ebbs and flows.

Let’s check in with The Yen as a Whole… and first up is my Friend and Colleague here on FXstreet, Valeria’s Favorite Unit, The Dollar Yen!

( P.S. - Do not tell Her this…  She will leave Buenos Aires and track me down in Phoenix… Body Parts will be strewn all over The Desert Southwest… as I am consumed by the 4000-Degree Heat! … hee hee…     ;-)

 

With all of my sarcasm aside, The Yen is surely ruling the Day over The Dollar in today’s Work in terms of coming off of our Asian-Pacific Sector Thoughts on The Asian Bourses picking up yesterday’s Bearish Sentiments.

For a bit of Perspective, let’s check in on The Monthly View of USD/JPY, where seeing The High- 80’s Area of last December and January is certainly plausible… ( although this is unlikely without a significant prior correction being a Monthly View).

Give The Captures a Click for Various Levels of Reference and Commentary, with Post-Time being 6:45 GMT.

 

 

 

 

 

The Daily gives us more Clarity to work with, as Price remains in a Wide Downtrend Channel here with Dynamic Trendlines on both sides. Price continues to Breach significant Daily Static Support Levels,  and the Static 93.50 Support Area is certainly In View.

 

 

 

 

The Hourly shows the Breach of the 78.6% Fib Variant of the Full January 1995 79.76 Low to the 147.76 Highs as a Confluence Area.

Surely a very Long-Term Fib View here… although it does remain Valid in Illustrating the Deep Yen Strength we have seen since April of this Year.

 

 

 

 

 

My 6:30GMT  “Currency Majors Technical Perspective” Report  shows this exact Immediate-Term Bearish Sentiment with our “Four Major Siblings” as well that we are all very familiar with lately!

Of course, we will see what “Interesting Rhetoric” emerges from The G-8 today as we move through our Updates today… with the possibility of seeing some Accumulation leading to Consolidation at least in The Immediate-Term across The Markets.

If The Yen is any Bellwether of Indication though… The Idea looks to be off in the Distance a ways, doesn’t it!

;-)

 

 

 

 

Tags: bellwether, correlation, euro, fear, pound, resistance, Risk Aversion, support, uncertainty, unwind, USD/JPY, wind, Yen, yen crosses

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