Greetings again, Everyone!
I could not help myself with the humorous Title here… surely The Risk Averse Monster of The Yen we spoke of in last night’s Post is still In Play as we come to The NYSE Close where The Dow and S&P close in last-minute Positive Territory.
We have many Factors to account for here, as the 6-Week Highs of Yen Movement is involved in the overall Fear dropping Supply coupled with dropping Demand in The EIA/API Oil Inventory Data Points today…. not to mention of course…The MASSIVE Concerns about Oversight and Regulations being discussed on Speculation Caps on Finite Commodity Products.
In addition, the Deep Global Uncertainty is still with us as questions of a 2nd Stimulus Package are on The table… the still-with-us Nigerian Concerns for Crude Oil “Regularity”, FX Concerns not on the Table again at the G-8, and perhaps most importantly in The Near-Term… The Equity Market Correlations with Currencies firmly Intact.
Let’s take a look at Crude and Gold to gives us some Insight of Today’s Risk-Averse Activity, so here are The Hourly Views for Various Levels.
These Units technically are pretty Self-Explanatory… as even slight Corrections are needed in my personal View.
Post-Time is right at The Closing Bell @ 20:00 GMT.
Crude hovers around the $60 Handle as our L.R. Channel is still “anchoring” Price… despite the massive Depletion here of even Neutral Sentiment.
Price needs to attempt to maintain the Level, otherwise a Breach to The $55 Static Support may certainly be In Sight.
The “Uni-Directionality” of Price tells us two things here: Bearish Sentiment is deeply strong ( obviously), but most importantly dependent on your personal Trading Perspective… This type of “Directionality” will not sustain Itself indefinitely…so in these case, we will often see the same “Building of Energy” set up just as strong of a Reversal in Price.
Gold in in a similar situation where it is exacerbating the Depreciation in Crude while contributing to Dollar and Yen Strength, of course, as we revert back to a “Safe-Haven” sentiment here.
A Classic Bear Flag/Pennant of Accumulation is evident here… and a Full Completion “sees” The $880’s which is certainly probable considering Dollar Strength. A Breach of The Flag sees regaining Dynamic Support @ the $912 Area with Fib Variant Confluence from the April Daily Upleg, and of course… The “Congestion” Zone of Consolidation may continue to attract Price.
Now… I have one of my usual “Rhetorical” Questions for you…
Was The Yen Surge today a big shock and suprise?… Crude Oil?… Gold?… The Queen and The Euro?…
We will discuss these Events further for tomorrow’s “Big Blog” Post in a few hours, as well as so please join me then!
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