Greetings again, Everyone!

We arrive about 75 Minutes into The NYSE Open where the Dow and S&P Indices are varying from largely “Flat” to a bit of early Gains. Bernanke’s continued Testimony today will continue to play a large part in Equity sentiment today, as will the continued Roll-Outs during Earnings Season.

Our Thought on the MPC Minutes out of The Bank of England came to fruition as both Dynamic and Static Support Levels were hit, and Price Appreciation immediately cam back in to secure the same Levels once again.

Here are The Captures of both for a quick Reference, so give them a Click… and Post-Time is 14:45 GMT.

The Queen met and surpassed Lower static Support at the 1.6330’s where Price Appreciation on Prime Minister Brown’s and The BoE’s Rhetoric for a more “positive outlook” on The U.K. Economy provided the Impetus here. Our thoughts on the “decreasing likelihood” of additional Quantitative Easing gave he Pound a boost here… as even several hours later…we still “Anchor” at the 1.6380’s/1.6400 Supportive Areas.

As in our Pre-MPC Post last evening… The Pound Yen is literally taking The Queen’s lead here with a step of Depreciation to the lower 152.30’s Static Support back to the 153.20’s and finding “Safe Harbor” there for now.

In turning to The Euro… in my personal View the most “Directionless” Unit around… a “Catalyst” is surely needed to move Price out of Its Accumulating and Consolidating nature… ( of course, my thought here will be dependent on the Time-Cycles you prefer to work on…)

We still do have a “loose” Correlation of Sentiment with U.S. Equities and Gold and Oil… although the relatively “Flat” Hourly Descending Channel give us extensive Wicks of indecision to work with.

The Month-over-Month Housing Price Index comes in above Consensus, although the weak Year-over-Year Numbers largely negate this… so no real surprises there.

We now see one of my personal favorite Data Point Releases, as most of you know, The EIA Oil Inventory Builds… and those Numbers come in with Inventories slightly down while Gasoline and Distillate Builds are slightly higher than Consensus… and we see no real Market Reaction here concerning The Dollar.

All Eyes are now on Uncle Ben as we move along!…so more Updates to follow as usual!

I would like to point out something I have been aware of for quite a while through my good friend and FXstreet’s Chief Analyst, Valeria Bednarik, and her Work along with Alberto Munoz and Tatsuya Kawanishi of the FXstreet Content Team, on the new revamped FXstreet Tools Section and Area!

Having been around these woods here on FXstreet since early 2005… I have seen many deep improvements and changes come and go to the Content of the whole Site, and this is one of the most exciting!

To have these Tools revised and more effective in their Application will surely benefit all who use them!

Here is The Link so give them a Try!

http://www.fxstreet.com/forex-tools/

Greetings again, Everyone at The Close!

The Dow and S&P 500 cross positive Territory with nice and consistent Gains on the back of Equities Appreciation, and talk of The CIT Bankruptcy not coming to fruition as Bond Holders “give up the ship” of 3 Billion in a Bailout.

The Dollar gets edged out by The Euro as we see about a 6-Week Low in the 1.4240’s, and on The Indices side, The S&P looks to 6 Sessions of Appreciation with the 956 Resistance-Area in View.

Here is The Capture, so give it a Click for reference… as our “Higher Equities/Lower Dollar and Yen Correlation” is Intact.

Post-Time is about 1 Hour after The NYSE Close at 21:00 GMT.

We now look to The Aussie since we checked in with Aussie Yen earlier in the Day… considering the Gold Correlation here is keeping both Units rather Well-Bid.

Here is The Hourly so give it a Click for all of my “Transitive Rollover” Areas that will take place and come to fruition in strongly-trending Climates. Price looks for a bit of Consolidation now, and any Clip of the .8190’s/.8200 Handle will provides even one more Transitive Rollover to add to our View here!

The Minutes due out of the MPC should offer no real “surprises” in Sentiment and text… as The RBA is, in my personal View, one of the most “effective” and fiscally-responsible Central Banks out there.

Speaking of The Commodity Currencies, I will have The Canadian Dollar for tomorrow’s “Big Blog” Post, since we have The BoC Rate Decision at 13:00 GMT… so I look forward to seeing you then… as well as later this evening at 6:30 GMT for the “Currency Majors Technical Perspective” Report to get our Tuesday on it’s Way!

Greetings again, Everyone!

We certainly have some Volatility to work with on an IntraDay Basis, with plenty of “Market Noise” and Breaks moving forward.

Perhaps Crude and Gold are the finest Illustrations of this Price Behavior so far, as Clean Breaks have seen Momentum, due perhaps, indirectly to falling Treasuries and a relatively “Flat” Dow and S&P 500 as of this Writing.

Here are the Hourly Views, so give them a Click, as always, for various Levels of Reference.

Post-Time is 15:10 GMT.

Gold looks to a new “Transitive Rollover” of Support and Resistance as Price is “caught” in a $5.00 Range after emerging from the Congestion Zone Upleg from the $912.00 Area. Price will need to see a Clear Momentum-Break of the $940’s to continue on with the overall Hourly Uptrend… otherwise a Retracement of Price to the $920’s is certainly feasible here.

Crude is quite similar in Behavior, with an even “cleaner” Break of the Congestion Area. A potential Hourly Bull Flag is in development here, with “Full Completion” coming in above the $65.00 Handle…. although this may be in the Distant Future as Price may simply begin to consolidate at the “new” Transitive Rollover Area of the $63.30’s.

We look to some “Quieting” of Price Action as the Day moved on into The Weekend, so be Mindful of Institutional Re-Positioning moving forward as “Covering” will surely be a Factor here.

As always, I will be back with you for more Updates, so please join me soon!

Greetings, Everyone and a fine Saturday to All!

Writing-Time is 8:30 a.m. for me, so 15:30 GMT.

While we have a Reprieve in the Volatility and Risk-Averse Climate with most Units involved with IntraDay Consolidation, we may certainly be in store for another Volatile and Risk-Averse Week.

While this may seem “Negative” to some, it is largely “Positive” to others.

BUT… We are already “flawed” with this Climate… and this rather Esoteric Thought is what I would like to address.

We always hear of various Perspectives in Trading… Trends, Counter-Trends, Range Views, Faders, Support and Resistance Perspectives, etc.

As we formally analyze Price Action via Technical Analysis… we will see Order Flow fit into one of the Categories mentioned… which instantly Conditions us to “Choose A Side”,  if you will.

This is where we may “See” what I call in a Fine Art context, “The Fatal Flaw”.

( This is a direct reference to when we see a Painting for the first time… it is too late. We have absorbed the Initial Reactions of what we are seeing, and are already forming Subjective Judgements. It is then when we go back and re-examine the Piece that we begin to extract more relevant information concerning The Work Itself… )

Again… My Perspective here is absorbing what we are actually “Seeing”… whether it is a Painting or a Chart of Price Action.

Is it not true that the instant  we pull up a Chart we instantly define a Trending, Non-Trending, or Ranging Environment?… and then it makes us FEEL a certain way?

Then… we go back, pull out our Toolbox of Technical Analysis, and begin to bring some Objectivity to the Table.

Perhaps one of the most Untenable Goals of Trading is to arrive to Price with as little Pre-Conception and Neutrality as possible… it is certainly something I personally work on everyday, since I am such a Visual Person… obviously most Artists are.

So let’s put this rather Abstract idea into Practice.

Here we have a Monthly Chart of Gold with Text, so give it a Click.

The more “Neutral” we can become about what we are actually “Seeing”… the more we  can remove some of The Emotional Component when we begin our Analysis.

Have a fine Day, Everyone and I’ll see you tomorrow!

Greetings Everyone, and Welcome to Thursday!

With The Massive Risk-Averse Volatility and Strength of The Yen and The Dollar, IntraDay Perspectives surely felt some Heat moving through the most recent Trading Sessions.

We have discussed the Macro-Economic Issues of these At Length all week here on The Blog, so we do not need to revisit them.

In my experience, we see certain types of reactions to Rapid Speed and Momentum of Price Action…. one of them is what I call “Tunnel Vision”.

As I mentioned on the previous Post, The Concept of “Chasing The Trade” comes into Play as Price illicit an almost “Emotional” Response.

As I always say, I do not have issues with any Type or Style of Trading that one may prefer… as long as Risk Exposure and Parameters are consistent for that individual Trader.

With virtually all Units today from an IntraDay Level, if proper Stop Placement was utilized then  a Fractional Loss was had and we move on to Trade Another Day.

The “Speed” at which The Yen surged was only in about a 4-Hour Window, where the 400-500 Pip Moves are certainly not a regular occurrence…. OR Are They???

Here is where my “Rhetorical” Question comes in once again…

“Was The Yen Surge today a big shock and surprise?… Crude Oil?… Gold?… The Queen and The Euro?…”

Let’s have a look and see some Indications of “Market Memory” that may provide us with some Insights.

Here are The Monthly Views of Crude, Gold, The Fiber, and The Queen, so give them a Click for Clarity as they are rather “Compressed” with The Fib Variant Extensions and Projections.

Post-Time is 2:00 GMT but of course on Monthly Views… We really do not have to worry about “Accurate” Time!… hee hee hee…  

Gold looks to The Fib Variant Projection here stemming from the March 2001 Low to the May 2003 Spike High, giving us a “relative” 38.2% to 139.2% Projected Area.

We could have “anticipated” the relative Price Action here… so let’s see how we fair on Crude.

Crude provides even greater “Accuracy” here with the massive Bear Flag Formation as Price reaches the Fib Variant with a Variation of about 40 cents… nice indeed!

… And The Queen?… Jackpot for Her Majesty!

How about The Fiber ?…  A little more “Subjective” depending on where use wish to Fib from… I tend to work with Clusters and Confluence all the time as all of you well know, so I chose both The Upleg and Downleg Variants.

We still get a “Close” 90-Pip Variant Range here…

So there we have it!

By incorporating Longer-Term Views in your Work, you certainly do not have to be an Active Position Trader!

It is all relative, and like everything else in Life…

We can usually Find Out Where We are Going By Remembering Where We have Been…

Please join me, as always,  for the 6:30 GMT “Currency Majors Technical Perspective” Report, so I will see you in a few hours!

 UPDATE @ 8:00 GMT:

The “Currency Majors Technical Perspective” Report  has been published, and we are already seeing signs of Accumulation as we have Hourly Bear Flags across many Currency Units!

Keep an eye on these Retracments, as even on The Majors, we are seeing potential “Breaching” Activity that is already “Negating” the Formations. As always… these can be “loose” Formations and certainly do not have to be “Textbook Beautiful”… as long as they hold their Function.

Please have a visit on The FXstreet Calendar and Home Page as our FXstreet Advisor and Myself bring you another “Action-Packed” Edition of “The Bank of England Interest Rate Live Coverage” @ 10:45 GMT!

See You Soon and of course, plenty of Updates to come here on The Blog today!

Greetings again, Everyone!

I could not help myself with the humorous Title here… surely The Risk Averse Monster of The Yen we spoke of in last night’s Post is still In Play as we come to The NYSE Close where The Dow and S&P close in last-minute Positive Territory.

We have many Factors to account for here, as the 6-Week Highs of Yen Movement is involved in the overall Fear dropping Supply coupled with dropping Demand in The EIA/API Oil Inventory Data Points today…. not to mention of course…The MASSIVE Concerns about Oversight and Regulations being discussed on Speculation Caps on Finite Commodity Products.

In addition, the  Deep Global Uncertainty is still with us as questions of a 2nd Stimulus Package are on The table… the still-with-us Nigerian Concerns for Crude Oil “Regularity”, FX Concerns not on the Table again at the G-8, and perhaps most importantly in The Near-Term… The Equity Market Correlations with Currencies firmly Intact.

Let’s take a look at Crude and Gold to gives us some Insight of Today’s Risk-Averse Activity, so here are The Hourly Views for Various Levels.

These Units technically are pretty Self-Explanatory… as even slight Corrections are needed in my personal View.

Post-Time is right at The Closing Bell @ 20:00 GMT.

Crude hovers around the $60 Handle as our L.R. Channel is still “anchoring” Price… despite the  massive Depletion here of even Neutral Sentiment.

Price needs to attempt to maintain the Level, otherwise a Breach to The $55 Static Support may certainly be In Sight.

The “Uni-Directionality” of Price tells us two things here: Bearish Sentiment is deeply strong ( obviously), but most importantly dependent on your personal Trading Perspective… This type of “Directionality” will not sustain Itself indefinitely…so in these case, we will often see the same “Building of Energy” set up just as strong of a Reversal in Price.

Gold in in a similar situation where it is exacerbating the Depreciation in Crude while contributing to Dollar and Yen Strength, of course, as we revert back to a “Safe-Haven” sentiment here.

A Classic Bear Flag/Pennant of Accumulation is evident here… and a Full Completion “sees” The $880’s which is certainly probable considering Dollar Strength. A Breach of The Flag sees  regaining Dynamic Support @ the $912 Area with Fib Variant Confluence from the April Daily Upleg, and of course… The “Congestion” Zone of Consolidation  may continue to attract Price.

Now… I have one of my usual “Rhetorical” Questions for you…

Was The Yen Surge today a big shock and suprise?… Crude Oil?… Gold?… The Queen and The Euro?…

We will discuss  these Events further for tomorrow’s “Big Blog” Post in a few hours, as well as so please join me then!

Greetings, Everyone and Welcome to Tuesday!

We have seen what is in my personal View… a Classic Battle for the Supremacy of Indecision!

While The Dollar and Yen worked through Risk Aversion to open the New Week… the Climate quickly turned with The Euro, The Queen, and even The Pacifics ( ahead of The RBA Decision…which in my View will Hold, as will The BoE… ) gaining a portion of those gains back as The Dow and S&P 500 attempted at least some Covering to Close the Day.

Gold and Crude are still holding their Depreciation Status… so some “slight De-Coupling” of The IntraDay Perspective is a bit evident here.

“CVJ!… You are Speaking-in- Tongues again!… Are we Bullish?… Bearish?… Gold?…Crude?… Make up your Mind, Man! We have had it with your Mercurial Ways!… our long-lost Friends, The CVJ Fan Club Guys say.

( Hee hee hee… and all of you Dear Readers thought these Geniuses were on permanent Vacation!… well…. we have to have a laugh now and then, right??? )

In all seriousness here… the Indecisive nature of The Markets as a whole are indicative of the Carry-Over from the U.S. Holiday, the expectations of The G-8 and the surprising “Pro-Active” Nature of China… as well as the rest of The Asian-Pacific Sectors ( i.e. Taiwan).

Will China come through with the “Jawboning Feel” of “The Super-Sovereign” Currency to replace The Dollar Reserve?

If you ask me… the continual “flip-flopping” there reminds me of those other historical Jawboning Masters… The Bank of Japan!  

Let’s roll out The Aussie again ahead of The RBA’s Rate Decision, and we will check in as well for the 7-8GMT Blog Update as well.

Here is The Daily and Hourly View with Commentary above, so give The Capture a Click for Levels…. and Post-Time is 23:00 GMT.

The Aussie looks to strengthen on the wide-Consensus that The RBA will Hold yet again with their “Wait and See” Policy.

Even so, we still see the Range that we looked at last week, so perhaps this will be The “Catalyst” to snap through above the .8000 Handle in the Immediate-Term.

Our Longer-Term Uptrend Line here on The Hourly will certainly come into Play for more Clarification as well.

As always, I will be with you around 6:30 GMT for the early “Currency Majors Technical Perspective” Report and a Blog Update to follow, so please feel free to join me then!

Greetings again, Everyone!

Gold and Crude Oil continue to hold their “Inverse” Correlations with the Low-Yielders, as The Risk-Averse “Brothers” of The Dollar and Yen continue on.

While Accumulation is being Seen, Gold and the August Crude Futures Contract now see rather “tight” Ranges in Price this “late” in the Trading Day.

Most Majors have picked up  some clear Bounces off of Support and Resistance Levels, as Dollar and Yen have giving up some gains ever-so-slightly… but Gold and Crude still appear ready for continued Depreciation out of their IntraDay Areas.

Here are the Hourly Captures of both for various Levels, and Post-Time is 21:15 GMT.

Gold gets “trapped” in a “Loose Wedge Flag” Formation here… as well as the approximately $6.00 Horizontal Range. Price needs a Clip of the $927.80’s for even a bit of “Neutrality”… or a Breach of the $920’s for further Depreciation which looks to be in the Immediate-Term Favor.

Crude is perhaps the more “Clear” Depreciator of The Commodities, where we are currently at a Six-Week Low… as it is certainly Out of Favor on an IntraDay View.

Dollar Strength continues to “whittle away” at Price, where a defined L.R. Channel has been anchoring Price for several days now.

So there we are for now!… and we will see what the U.S. Close brings us as The Dow is rather “Flat” as of this Writing.

Please join me again, as always and I hope to see you soon!

Greetings, Everyone and Welcome to Monday!

We have a somewhat-”rushed” Week with the U.S. 4th of July Independence Day on Saturday, which brings ADP, NFP, Jobless Claims and such a day earlier than usual as U.S. Markets will be closed for The Holiday.

The ECB holds the Majority of Focus this Week outside of the U.S. Data, where Inflationary Concerns still “haunt” The ECB, and their “Independent Stance” in general in relation to other Global Central Banks.

Dollar Strength sees some Daylight to begin the Week, as Crude Oil and Gold open lower.

Let’s check in with The EUR/USD, so here is the Hourly with Commentary above.

Give it a Click for Levels of Reference, and Post-Time is 2:10 GMT.

The Fiber sees Consolidation on the Hourly View ( nothing new here… since I have written and you have read this Word 4 million times in the past few weeks… hee hee… ).

Price simply cannot maintain and Hold above the 1.4100 Handle, as a fall into Accumulation @ the 1.4050’s  leads us into the “Confluence” Area of the 1.400 Handle with Dynamic Magenta 1.3980’s/1.400’s Support Area.

The 1.3880’s “Box” sees the next area of Support, where Bullish Sentiment is largely lost In Favor of Bearish Sentiment with a Clean Break.

It is early in The Asian-Pacific Sectors, and early in the Week… so we check back in with plenty of Updates for you!

In the Interim, please join me at the 6:30 GMT Hour for our European Session Installment of the “Currency Majors Technical Perspective” Report, and see how we have progressed so far!

See Everyone Soon!

Greetings again, Everyone!

With another Nigerian Attack, Crude Oil holds on to Its Bullish Sentiment from Asian-Pacific Bourse Strength, as we all underlying Euro Strength and Gold Sentiment as well. The EU Futures a bidding up as we head into The Open… with the EUR/USD now finding new Support at the 1.4000 handle in Confluence with the 23.6% Fib Variant April Upleg.

Here are The Captures with Commentary above, so give them a Click as always.

Post-Time is 6:40 GMT.

Price reaches the Dynamic Support “Transitive Rollover” from the new 1.4000 Handle-Support on The Fiber, as another “Re-Test” and Breach of the Area will see Appreciation towards the 1.4130’s Daily Static Resistance in the Near-Term.

A Downside-Clip sees rather “shallow” Correction in the Immediate-Term to the Magenta-Dynamic Support Level at the 1.3980’s 5-Hour Consolidation Area.

Crude Clips our Hourly Ascending Triangle Formation, where Contact with the 72.70’s Daily Static Resistance is not out of the question here in the Near-Term.

Also clipping the “loose” Ascending Triangle Formation here, Gold Price looks towards the $960’s Static Resistance Area in the near-Term if Appreciation continues with correlating Dollar IntraDay Weakness.

Immediate-Term Detail can be seen with the just-published  “Currency Majors Technical Perspective” Report, and I will have several more Updates for you as we move throughout our Final Trading Day of the Week!

Please Join Me Again Soon!