Posted on July 31, 2008 at 20:12 in Market comment, Market forecast, Operators' intentions by Dr. S. Sivaraman8 Comments »

In my earlier blog  today I gave the remark that today the technical and fundamental analysts will become surprised.

From Japanese session onwards Technical analysts were expecting more drops as EURO and GBP appreared weak and motionless.To their surprise the fundamental data was released - neagtive to USD - and fundamental analysts expected the full recovery of the market because of disappointing data.Then came the surprise to them that EURO and GBP came back to the same level where they were before data.

Fundamental and Technical analysts may alternate their blames to each other or take credicts during their good time.In what way they influence  and benefit the traders.Traders really get confused because the disclaimers frequently appear when their calls go against for the traders who follow them.

For an illogical market when logical comments and expectations are derived this happens.What is the actual logic of the market?

OPERATORS CREATE THE MARKET SENTIMENTS AND ACT AGAINST THE HERD OF TRADERS.

Traders try various methods to understand the market before hand to do right earning trade.But the big calls of the analysts give mental block for the traders to develop their own judgement and trade at ease.

it is a simple logic - when we try to play with an opponent we need to perceive the strength and weakness of the opponent to win him in the game.Since traders are asked to believe that market is big and cannot be operated - traders find no alternative than to follow technicals and fundaments alternatively and also get confused, which one has to be used in a given time.

This content is for your thought process and understanding the limitations of such calls,however the ‘after market comments’ - ‘derived stories and attributes’ will look very logical .

Let us not live in imaginations,we need to face reality and handle situations to progress in life.We may construct castle in imaginations but need to achieve that in reality - that is determination.

Develop your insight and tell other traders that we can earn from the market consistantly.

Regards

Dr.Sivaraman


Posted on July 31, 2008 at 15:40 in Market comment, Market forecast, Operators' intentions by Dr. S. Sivaraman23 Comments »

EURO and GBP they made the extended stop hunt using the data release time.They are expected to slowly slide for month end to induce long liquidation for month end.

We expected the moves and it has happened They made the false dip before data indicating they intend to rise and gap time they firmed up to indicate they intend to slide.

They test our patience and if we are patient we earn along with them

Regards

Dr.Sivaraman


Posted on July 31, 2008 at 11:28 in Market comment, Market forecast, Operators' intentions by Dr. S. Sivaraman21 Comments »

Traders are waiting without commiting positions and the operators also follow the same in the absence of the volume.They will try to squeeze towards close of European session to get volume.They intend to make one quick upward stop hunt above high before the drop.

Regards

Dr.Sivaraman


Posted on July 31, 2008 at 7:33 in Market comment, Market forecast, Operators' intentions by Dr. S. Sivaraman4 Comments »

Month end moves will be volatile.Big players intend to make a big rise and a big fall moves.They are expected to rise during European session very quickly  and hold high with higher level swings and upward stop hunts and then drop during US session.

Quick rises are sell opportunities specially the upward stop hunts above the new high.Many pairs are expected to make 150-200 pips spread between high and lows.

Calmly trade to earn from such volatile moves.

Tomorrow  for month beginning and week end time they are expeccted to make subdued swings till 11.00 GMT.Then a false rise before the NFP data release and big drop after data release are expected.

Now it will be challange time for analysts as the big players intend to break the estimated supports and resistances wisely to confuse traders.

Regards

Dr.Sivaraman


Posted on July 30, 2008 at 18:07 in Market comment, Market forecast, Operators' intentions by Dr. S. SivaramanNo Comments »

Operators induced long liquidation of the emotional traders holding higher level buy positions.They have bought those positions and now trying the trap the bearish traders who intend to sell as EURO and GBP apprear weak following their market studies.Technical analysts could derive deeper levels and create more fear to them.

But the big players intend to make upward gap opening tomorrow during Japanese session and rise till mid European session before the next drop for month end.

You can do a buy and sell trade in EURO and GBP with trailing stop or wait for the rise to short tomorrow.Market continue to give trading opportunities- we need to calmly judge and trade.

Regards

Dr.Sivaraman


Posted on July 30, 2008 at 15:43 in Market comment, Market forecast, Operators' intentions by Dr. S. Sivaraman10 Comments »

US session starts with downward dips and cutting lows in EURO and GBP.Longs are built up in the market  mand are being now forced to liquidate.But the operators are buying the positions against their selling.They intend to slowly firm up and open with UPWARD gap opening tomorrow during Japanese session.They are just inducing traders to make distress trades only and the shift in trading zone has not commenced yet.Their moves indicate that.You can watch for the quick pull back to short.May appear small sell and buy trades can easily give profit.But they intend to trap such scalp traders.Watch and trade without any bullish or bearish feel.

If you have good trading strategy with stop then you can do swing trades,other wise wait for the good rise to sell again..

Regards

Dr.Sivaraman


Posted on July 30, 2008 at 8:37 in Market comment, Market forecast, Operators' intentions by Dr. S. Sivaraman31 Comments »

EURO and GBP commenced the big drop as we envisaged.Now the big players intend to dip to induce the traders to short in falling market and then buy against their sells and quickly rise from mid European session to hit their stops as extended stop hunt rise and then drop again during US session.

Our trading plan - Cover the shorts near low during Early European session drop and wait for the quick pull back to short again -about 100+ pips above and then wait to cover the new short during US session drop.Avoid buy and sell trade,because if we fail to book profit we will see the position making loss.

Avoid taking short after drop or taking long after rise- they are emotional trades.

Either way big swings they intend to make to attract more buy orders from the traders.But operators buy less  and gain quickly levels and sell more positions from the high to earn from the panic traders.

Regards

Dr.Sivaraman


Posted on July 29, 2008 at 16:33 in Market comment, Market forecast, Operators' intentions by Dr. S. Sivaraman7 Comments »

After the week beginning rise they held high and induced the traders that further rise might happen to do buy and sell trades.Now they revealed their intentions that they wanted to drop EURO and GBP to cover their shorts built up during the rise.

Qucik pull back rises are sell opportunities in them.

Regards

Dr.Sivaraman


Posted on July 29, 2008 at 14:37 in Operators' intentions by Dr. S. Sivaraman15 Comments »

Big players are making subdued moves to test the patience of the traders and to induce them to take market positions.They intend to make one quick upward stop hunt and then continue the slide.

Watch and trade.

Regards

Dr.Sivaraman


Posted on July 29, 2008 at 7:03 in Market comment, Market forecast, Operators' intentions by Dr. S. Sivaraman23 Comments »

Now higher level consolidation is happening in EURO and GBP.Session start and session close times the upward stop hunts are expected.They are position taking time.

Slow slide will happen from late European session through US session.

USD/YEN is expected to rise quickly and change the market sentiment.

Commodity pairs are expected to slide more.

Regards

Dr.Sivaraman

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