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Operators' intentions read by Dr. S. Sivaraman, of i-knowindices.com

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Month beginning expected moves…

Posted on October 1, 2008 at 5:37 in Market comment, Market forecast, Operators' intentions by Dr. S. Sivaraman

EURO and GBP went for massive drop yesterday during US session and then firmed up towards close and also firmed up during Japanese session to make a dip during late Japanese and start of European session and then firm up quickly with some other attribute.Then a small dip and then further firming up expected during US session as month beginning move.These are only expected market moves and may vary.So use your other  analysis along with this posting to decide on your trading.

So  firming up with small swings is an intentional move and quick moves are false moves.

During false move they gain levels to do buying while dropping and selling while rising.Intentional move  is to accumulate the positions to make the trap move.

If you watch and compare moves the understanding will happen.For that the live market quote page will be the best tool than the charts.

Regards

Dr.Sivaraman

12 Responses to “Month beginning expected moves…”

  1. on 01 Oct 2008 at 6:14 am1K Akkoub

    I am a regular reader of your comments and wish to thank you for your splendid insight. In today’s extremely volatile markets, your predictions offer a valuable added tool to gauge the market potential direction. I believe your efforts are worth appreciation.

  2. on 01 Oct 2008 at 7:45 am2mike

    doc,

    Should we understand that month begining trends will be opposite month end or will they be the trend durring the entire month?

    Do you consider mothly trends at all?

    Thanks

  3. on 01 Oct 2008 at 7:54 am3Guy

    Doc, if the big moves are false moves, do you think the declined in the EUR from 1.44 to 1.40 will reverse itself this week?

  4. on 01 Oct 2008 at 8:40 am4tim

    In last months forecast you saw an imminent quick reversal in EUR to levels above 1.50. Is this reversal going to come soon with a ‘double bottom’ at 1.38 region in your opinion.

  5. on 01 Oct 2008 at 8:49 am5Dr. S. Sivaraman

    Dear K Akkoub
    Thanks = we need to read the intentions of the players why they drop or rise aggressively some time and slowly other times.The economic changes are not quantified in pips for them to do such moves.Hence they play like this.
    Regards
    Dr.Sivaraman

  6. on 01 Oct 2008 at 8:52 am6Dr. S. Sivaraman

    Dear mike
    Slow rise is expected from today.During last week of a month and first week of the new month they perform monthly trend reversal moves - a quick drop and then slow rise or a quick rise and slow fall.Then they set the trending move for the month.
    Regards
    Dr.Sivaraman

  7. on 01 Oct 2008 at 8:54 am7Dr. S. Sivaraman

    Dear Guy
    I am expecting the reverse and they will gain the levels slowly and reach above your mentioned level.
    Regards
    Dr.Sivaraman

  8. on 01 Oct 2008 at 8:56 am8Dr. S. Sivaraman

    Dear tim

    I am not expecting the earlier low to be reached and they are expected to firm up nicely for NFP data release time 03 Oct..
    Regards
    Dr.Sivaraman

  9. on 01 Oct 2008 at 10:32 am9Walid

    I have been following your predictions and analysis with great interest and I believe strongly in that every single move made in the market (every tick) is a result of a harmony in the market and there is no such thing as ‘noise’ because every tick means something.
    However, I am eager to know your opinion about fib and psychological (those ending with 00 or 50) levels and how relevant they are in the actions of the big players. Do they intentionally stall the price and bounce it around on prominent fib levels (such as those created by the high and low of the week, session, hour, etc.)? I have noticed in -tick charts- there are often times when the price stalls or changes behaviour almost exactly at those levels. It may be the regular reaction of the market to those levels, but their prominence may also be improved by the big boys.
    Also, how could one benefit best from those levels?

    Thanks indeed

    Walid

  10. on 01 Oct 2008 at 1:14 pm10hamda

    it’s wonderful. im trading exacly opposite to the doctor’s reccomendations and im earning a lot. excatly at non farm payroll news i took short.

  11. on 01 Oct 2008 at 1:43 pm11Roy

    Hi Doc

    Do you still stick to your belief that GBP and EUR are going to this week reach the same highs of last week - ie. 1.47 and 1.86? With respect, it’s not going to happen.

    Anyway I have been shorting the pound all week - so quite happy.

    Regards
    Roy

  12. on 01 Oct 2008 at 3:43 pm12Krzysztof

    Dear Dr,

    it seems that your prediction for NFP is exaclty the same as a month ago, moth ago your prediction was a compelte failure, even if NFP data was very $ negative, players reversed all $ weakness very quickly and $ made a highs afterwards. So your call is against the trend agian, I just wonder if it will fail again like a month ago….

    So far they cut the low from yesterday and rising…

    Krzysztof

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