38 Responses to “Moves expected before and after FOMC rate release time”

1. on 24 Jun 2009 at 1:36 pm1Nazali

   Hi Dr

   will the wide range swings be within the high and low set for the day? Many thanks.

2. on 24 Jun 2009 at 1:38 pm2Nazali

   Hi Dr
   Another thing I’d like to ask, you said in the webinar yesterday that the forecast in the blog and the trading strategy must be use together and cannot be use alone. why could the trading strategy not be used alone? Many thanks.

3. on 24 Jun 2009 at 1:58 pm3Kevin

   thank you doctor i closed my shorts profit, great calls again thank you so much! this has been my best week ever.

4. on 24 Jun 2009 at 2:45 pm4Kevin

   doctor, would you suggest that it would be okay to setup short position swings on the EU near the 4150-4250 area if it hurt during the stop hunt? Or should we wait for friday? Thanks.

5. on 24 Jun 2009 at 3:16 pm5mice

   Hi Dr

   SIr after the upward stop hunt during fomc , and tommrow the drop with be big drop or reversal , or just range with up bias

   regards

6. on 24 Jun 2009 at 3:36 pm6freddie

   Dr many thanks for this fomc insight.

7. on 24 Jun 2009 at 3:40 pm7Rohan

   hello dr, what is your expectation for usd/jpy before and after data release at 18:15 gmt ?

8. on 24 Jun 2009 at 3:58 pm8Dr. S. Sivaraman

   dear Nazali

   In GBP yes and in EURO they may cut the low and then rise.
   Regards
   Dr.Sivaraman

9. on 24 Jun 2009 at 3:59 pm9Dr. S. Sivaraman

   Dear Kevin

   When they rise quickly and stop cutting the new high for more than 30 min you can take short.
   Regards
   Dr.Sivaraman

10. on 24 Jun 2009 at 4:01 pm10Dr. S. Sivaraman

    dear mice
    The drop will be more of swing and slide to induce traders to place buy orders.
    Regards
    Dr.Sivaraman

11. on 24 Jun 2009 at 4:02 pm11Dr. S. Sivaraman

    Dear Rohan
    USD/YEN is expected to rise using FOMC as trigger.
    Regards
    Dr.Sivaraman

12. on 24 Jun 2009 at 4:23 pm12Francesco

    Good evening Dr.Sivaraman,’

    EUR and GBP are now going down, EUR cut the low.
    Do you still expect them to cut today’s high after FOMC meeting?

    If so, there’s still chance for them to rise further tomorrow during japanese session?

    Thank you!

13. on 24 Jun 2009 at 4:27 pm13jason

    Hi Dr

    The eur has dropped from the highs.

    Do you still expect it to rise and cut the highs today and then do stop hunts before reversal ?

    cheers
    jason

14. on 24 Jun 2009 at 4:30 pm14Dr. S. Sivaraman

    dear Francesco & jason

    keep in mind before the data they make false moves.So a drop now is to rise later.
    Regards
    Dr.Sivaraman

15. on 24 Jun 2009 at 4:31 pm15Constantin Lucian

    Dr. i want to ask you about false moves as they are a great tool to use for establishing direction in pairs. So we have gap time moves that are false move ; week beginning (monday) are false moves and what else? and also does this rule always apply or it changes from month to month? Thank you for your help

16. on 24 Jun 2009 at 4:32 pm16jason

    Hi Dr

    Appreciate your prompt response.

    Understand your point. But is the rise later likely to make new highs in the majors ? And will there be stop hunt upwards after the FOMC ?

    cheers
    jason

17. on 24 Jun 2009 at 4:58 pm17Rohan

    dr, as you said that they are making false move now , till what time before data release they extend their false move ? will they make their original intentional moves only after data release or start a few minutes before data release ?

    you are so kind to help many people here !!
    Am really thankful for your work doctor.

18. on 24 Jun 2009 at 5:12 pm18Rohan

    doctor,can you please explain the concept of net change and how to make use of it in tomorrows webinar ?

    thank you

19. on 24 Jun 2009 at 5:13 pm19su25

    Dear Doc
    Would appreciate your views on Usd/Chf.
    This pair made a net change of > 320 pips at one point. Is this a false move too?
    Thanks.

20. on 24 Jun 2009 at 5:40 pm20Dr. S. Sivaraman

    Dear Constantin Lucian
    the before data release also false move.they are types of moves seen every time without any change.
    Now the drop in EUERO and GBP was also a false move before FOMC.
    Regards
    Dr.Sivaraman

21. on 24 Jun 2009 at 5:41 pm21Dr. S. Sivaraman

    Dear jason
    Upward stop hunt potency is there as many would have taken shorts during drop.
    Regards
    Dr.Sivaraman

22. on 24 Jun 2009 at 5:44 pm22Dr. S. Sivaraman

    Dear Rohan
    the false moves can be done any time before the data- normally closer to release time.
    i will explain net change usage in trading decision making on firday webinar.I will not give webinar tomorrow.
    Regards
    Dr.Sivaraman

23. on 24 Jun 2009 at 5:46 pm23Dr. S. Sivaraman

    Dear su25
    it is intervention story.So the net change can be weekly net changed made in a day as they made subdued moves for a long time to induce the long holders to liquidate testing patience.
    Regards
    Dr.Sivaraman

24. on 24 Jun 2009 at 6:36 pm24Nazali

    Hi Dr
    Eur has broken it’s daily net change limit again, will we see it turn up this session? Many thanks.

25. on 24 Jun 2009 at 6:41 pm25TheRumpledOne

    “…Later wide range swings are expected before the data release time -18:15 GMT.Then quick rise expected after data release to high and possibly cutting the high briefly.”

    Can’t win ‘em all!

26. on 24 Jun 2009 at 7:23 pm26jason

    Hi Dr

    There seems to be no stop hunt and rise in the eur after FOMC.

    Can I know what is your view in the eur and majors going forward from here ?

    cheers
    jason

27. on 24 Jun 2009 at 8:02 pm27Kevin

    has this massive fall in EU and GU signal the trend reversal? You did say things were going to start reversing around 6600 GU and 4150 area. Thanks.

28. on 24 Jun 2009 at 8:32 pm28Emil

    Dr.
    Market seems to be long. Hence no upward stophunt.
    Do we still expect drop in eur and gbp over comming days?

    Looks like June 2 and 3 when we were also expecting upward moves but market proceeded with massive drop.

29. on 24 Jun 2009 at 9:09 pm29travis

    Dear doc
    do you expect gpy/jpy to go lower than 154 (tuesdays low)this week? It seems to be spinning sideways at the moment around 157

30. on 24 Jun 2009 at 11:11 pm30Juan

    Hi Dr. S –

    I have a different question besides how could EUR and GBP go down after FOMC

    For the week, I have EUR at or near the Sunday open price. And I have the GBP down about 75 pips since the Sunday open. Yet the EURGBP is down on the week. What am I missing here?

31. on 25 Jun 2009 at 3:07 am31Dr. S. Sivaraman

    Dear Nazali

    The players are making moves in one go to book profit in their positions.
    Regards
    Dr.Sivaraman

32. on 25 Jun 2009 at 3:08 am32Dr. S. Sivaraman

    Dear TheRumpledOne
    The plaqyers acted smarter than the traders and my expected moves have not happened after FOMC.
    Regards
    Dr.Sivaraman

33. on 25 Jun 2009 at 3:09 am33Dr. S. Sivaraman

    Dear jason

    Todays post is given.
    Regards
    Dr.Sivaraman

34. on 25 Jun 2009 at 3:10 am34Dr. S. Sivaraman

    Dear Kevin

    Some more upward stop hunt could be seen today.
    Regards
    Dr.Sivaraman

35. on 25 Jun 2009 at 3:11 am35Dr. S. Sivaraman

    Dear Emil

    yes traders were mostly long before FOMC and then the drop- but the traders turn quickly short after the drop and hence the holding now to make upward stop hunt and then slide.
    Regards
    Dr.Sivaraman

36. on 25 Jun 2009 at 3:13 am36Dr. S. Sivaraman

    Dear travis
    As EURO and USD/YEN swing in opposite directions the EURO/YEN could make only narrow range swings.
    Regards
    Dr.Sivaraman

37. on 25 Jun 2009 at 3:15 am37Dr. S. Sivaraman

    Dear Juan
    it is relative strength of EURO and GBP shown in EURO/GBP.if you see the net change of EURO ,GBP and EURO/GBP from friday close you will understand.
    Regards
    Dr.Sivaraman

38. on 25 Jun 2009 at 6:20 am38Constantin Lucian

    Dr. I want to ask you again about false moves. Are there false moves at month beginning or month end? If yes , when do they start and when do they end so that we can say that the false move has happened. Thank you again

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