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Operators' intentions read by Dr. S. Sivaraman, of i-knowindices.com

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USD gaining Vs risk appetite

Posted on August 13, 2009 at 2:20 in Market comment, Market forecast, Operators' intentions by Dr. S. Sivaraman

Yesterday EURO and GBP gained before FOMC rate announcement as expected.

After the announcement EURO and GBP made the meltdown close to initial lows set during japanese session and reversed again after creating USD bullish feel.Later the firming up to the high set was seen towards close.Just one drop and rise were enough for the players to hit the stops and change the traders sentiments and when traders commited sell positions after drop in EURO and GBP,the story of risk appetite was used for their rises.

So it becomes evidential that the players create market sentiments and act against the traders.

Today EURO and GBP are expected to make swings near high  during Japanese session and rise quickly during early European session.after brief consolidation during late European session near new high they are again expected to continue the rise during US session.

I will explain more during Asian session : Live market analysis webinar  between 05:00-05:30 GMT

The link for the same is given below:

http://www.fxstreet.com/live/sessions/session.aspx?id=979eed27-ebd8-4bf5-839b-39f80bf48318

Regards

Dr.Sivaraman

24 Responses to “USD gaining Vs risk appetite”

  1. on 13 Aug 2009 at 2:42 am1Mark

    Dear Doctor,

    Another great call! Do you still feel that GBPUSD will hit 1.7 level by this week end or at least early next week?

    Regards.

  2. on 13 Aug 2009 at 6:02 am2Chris

    Hi Dr .. you say significant rise in Eur and Gbp triggered by news or similar. would you be so kind to give idea of price move ie slow rise or spike move.. and do you have a time frame when it will occur. thanks in advance.

  3. on 13 Aug 2009 at 6:18 am3Arun Kandyal

    Could Someone please explain what is the Dr. forecast for GBP today and expected moves during gap times .would be appreciate thx.

  4. on 13 Aug 2009 at 6:26 am4JayDee

    Dear DOC.. players drop numerators and rise denominators and then hold/less drop demoinators and rise numerators more… are they expected to do the same in order to rise all or still they are expected to rise numerators and denominators at the same time??
    Regards

  5. on 13 Aug 2009 at 6:29 am5Chris

    Arun. as per webinar this am…..
    gap firming eueo sess higher lvl swings. mkt will not give up higher lvls. us higher lvl swings n rise .. significant rise.. uchf will firm up

  6. on 13 Aug 2009 at 6:31 am6Chris

    my interpretation wud b buy dips in gbp

  7. on 13 Aug 2009 at 6:33 am7Arun Kandyal

    thx for the support chris

  8. on 13 Aug 2009 at 6:37 am8Chris

    as previously stated by dr 1.6715 and as we know doc doesnt do charts but this is also 200ma lvl

  9. on 13 Aug 2009 at 7:31 am9Arun Kandyal

    Hi Dr.
    Where do you see GBP and Euro till weekend, could GBP come at area of 1.6850 and 1.4400 for Euro thx.

    Regards
    Arun Kandyal

  10. on 13 Aug 2009 at 7:48 am10HMT

    Hi Maxi

    Here is Doc’s posting on the timing.

    day light saving times for the sessions

    ——————————————————————————–
    Posted on March 30, 2009 at 5:39 in Market comment, Market forecast, Operators’ intentions by Dr. S. Sivaraman2 Comments »From now the day light saving system is followed in Europe and US and the session and gap times are as follows:

    JAPANESE SESSION - 00:30-07:00 GMT

    GAP TIME - 07:00 -07:30 GMT

    EUROPEAN SESSION - 07:30 -13;00 GMT

    GAP TIME -13:00 -13:30 GMT

    US SESSION - 13:30 - 20:30 GMT

    GAP TIME - 20:30 -00:30 GMT

    to read the intentions of the players it is better to follow their timings of the sessions.They are known to make false move during gap times,session start and session close time stop hunts on the upside above high or on the downside below low,during gap time they mostly handle crosses by making contrarian moves.

    Regards

    Dr.Sivaraman

  11. on 13 Aug 2009 at 10:10 am11grow

    Would it be wise to close the positions open at the end of the day or do you think they will rise again tomorrow?

  12. on 13 Aug 2009 at 10:12 am12Ahmed

    Respected Dr,
    It is just to show my admiration for your market insight.I have been reading in all the forex related books about intermarket correlation,risk appetite/aversion etc but after listening to your webinars and then watching the forex market, it is quite obvious that all these are coincidences and nothing more.Thank you very much for imarting such valuable knowledge.
    Regards

  13. on 13 Aug 2009 at 10:24 am13maxi

    thank you HMT, yes I found this post too. I think the other person who posted before had BST times (GMT +1)

    for me the japanese start and US start are 2 most important times, but usually asleep for japanese

  14. on 13 Aug 2009 at 10:33 am14Dr. S. Sivaraman

    Dear Mark

    most likely
    Regards
    Dr.sivaraman

  15. on 13 Aug 2009 at 10:34 am15Dr. S. Sivaraman

    Dear Chris
    all through the day - the intentional rise with swings.
    Regards
    Dr.Sivaraman

  16. on 13 Aug 2009 at 10:35 am16Dr. S. Sivaraman

    Dear JayDee
    they are known to make altrernate rises in them.but at the end of the day we will see rises in all.
    Regards
    Dr.Sivaraman

  17. on 13 Aug 2009 at 10:37 am17Dr. S. Sivaraman

    Dear Ahmed
    thanks
    Regards
    Dr.Sivaraman

  18. on 13 Aug 2009 at 10:46 am18docjo

    Hello Doctor
    Will we see 1.68 today itself?
    Thank you.

  19. on 13 Aug 2009 at 10:47 am19joshhh

    Thanks Doc,

    I have now learned how to take it calmly. I was long on cable since Monday & at one time I was loosing more than 1200 pips. just now i have square the position with a small loss of 99 pips.

    Two Lessons learnt:

    1. Enter Hedge order first - as Money protection is more important than money making.

    2.If you have made mistake, have bigger patience (& liquidity to back). As by very nature - the market always swings & can not have one sided moves.

    10% money can be risked in trade & balance 90% is needed to protect the lot!!

    thank you once again.

    regards

    Joshi.NZ

  20. on 13 Aug 2009 at 10:57 am20Dr. S. Sivaraman

    dear docjo
    could be during week end.
    Regards
    Dr.sivaraman

  21. on 13 Aug 2009 at 11:25 am21Jason Macko

    Right again Dr. Siveraman, and excellent live session last week btw, just wish I had have paid closer attention cause I caught only a fraction of the EUR and GBP push up last week. Of course I’m long on both since the recent lows yesterday, but my question is (and I’m doing my damndest to figure out) where would the end of the first wave be today for both, i.e. good profit taking points, or might it be wise to just wait for 1.44/1.45 for EUR and 1.70/1.71 for GBP having a swing trade mentality. I’m just a bit cautious because I know that “the players” are probably watching the longs accumulate and waiting to pounce.

  22. on 13 Aug 2009 at 11:30 am22Jason Macko

    For me today seems like a perfect storm against the USD and JPY http://forextopsandbottoms.blogspot.com/ in regard to both technicals and fundamentals.

  23. on 13 Aug 2009 at 11:54 am23jefe

    Jason,

    DR, rules –DAILY net change for GBP is max of 250 pips today’s open was 1.6505+ daily net = 1.6755

  24. on 13 Aug 2009 at 12:48 pm24vinesh

    Doc, is it possible for the EU to drop back to 1.40 before going over 1.47

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