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inducing fear for distress trades

Posted on August 17, 2009 at 11:01 in Market comment, Market forecast, Operators' intentions by Dr. S. Sivaraman

When GBP made the drop of 250 pips net change and euro almost 150 pips negative net change the fear is created among traders who have bought recently.The players are inducing now long liquidation to rise unassumingly in this week.They are known to prevent traders traders doing bottom fishing buy and sell after the rise.

manage equity and trade without fear when players induce distress trades.their intentions will be revealed from today US session and in coming days in this week.

Regards

Dr.Sivaraman

41 Responses to “inducing fear for distress trades”

  1. on 17 Aug 2009 at 11:32 am1Nazali

    Hi Dr

    I assume that as eur and gbp have reach their net change down limit we will not see much more drop today but will we still further drop below today’s lows tomorrow with the rise coming later in the week. Many thanks.

  2. on 17 Aug 2009 at 11:36 am2Kevin

    everyone is talking about dollar rally, is this the false intention you talked about the players will try to put in the market? thanks doc.

  3. on 17 Aug 2009 at 11:41 am3Kevin

    also doc, when we see the net limits hit and not passed, does this confirm even more that the moves are being created by the players? thanks.

  4. on 17 Aug 2009 at 11:49 am4Ange

    Doc, -you mentioned in the webinar this morning that you are expecting a drop in EUR/USD and GBP/USD tomorrow as well.. given the major drop esp in GBP today do you still feel that is going to happen?

  5. on 17 Aug 2009 at 12:04 pm5smith

    Dear Doc,

    what you mean exactly on “unassumingly in this week”? Sometimes you write the same but seems to me intangible. For example is there any chance to touch 1.42+ in EUR and 1.66+ in GBP?
    Other downward stop hunt can take the EUR below 1.40 or it is just depending on the size of the panic?

    regards,
    smith

  6. on 17 Aug 2009 at 12:41 pm6Arun Kandyal

    Hi Dr
    Could we see a rise towards 1.6450 area during mid or close of us session thx.

    Regards
    Arun Kandyal

  7. on 17 Aug 2009 at 1:09 pm7Sam

    Dear doctor, is usd continuing gain strength for this quarter? Or will eur and gbp cosolidate at current low level and start moving up to the current height?

    Thank you,

    Sam

  8. on 17 Aug 2009 at 1:20 pm8devesh

    EU reached max net change 150pips, does this means that stop hunt is over for today and is safe to long now.

  9. on 17 Aug 2009 at 1:51 pm9George

    devesh, they may for a short persiod exceed the max net change by 30-50 pips. The net change rolls over at 21.00 GMT, so the move may continue after that.

  10. on 17 Aug 2009 at 2:10 pm10sam

    George, are you saying you foresee further falls in eu and gu later tonight/tomorrow before the expected rise?

    Do you have an email I can use to contact you?

    The blog site Constantin created has chat enabled (go to the bottom left of http://frxsmtraders.blogspot.com ) if you’re able to discuss it there.

  11. on 17 Aug 2009 at 2:18 pm11Nazali

    Hi Dr

    Do you still expect eur and gbp to cut today’s high this session? Many thanks.

  12. on 17 Aug 2009 at 2:39 pm12devesh

    thx george.

  13. on 17 Aug 2009 at 3:08 pm13Arun Kandyal

    When they wil finish the torture.

  14. on 17 Aug 2009 at 3:12 pm14prince

    Hi Dr.Sivaraman
    when do we see your replies . what times are you available ?

    Very happy to see some very interesting questions. but these questions if not answered now, lose value.

  15. on 17 Aug 2009 at 3:49 pm15Chris

    Arun I don’t know but the fact that i’m looking for supports tells me the fear has been placed and that hopefully the operators feel their job is done and start to rise.(really long)

  16. on 17 Aug 2009 at 4:08 pm16Arun Kandyal

    yes chris i am also expecting they have finished their job and now they may rise but it may be limited below the 1.6360-80 area which i expect and tomorrow they could make another downward stop hunt during japanese session and then rise.i still holding my long.wht you expect.

  17. on 17 Aug 2009 at 4:22 pm17jimbo

    Guys I really don’t think that the players are likely to rise very high today or tomorrow. They usually like traders to suffer at least 2-3 days. I can feel another downward stop hunt coming tomorrow. Remember money management, don’t over trade or your account is likely to get burned.

  18. on 17 Aug 2009 at 4:28 pm18Arun Kandyal

    yes jimbo i am aggre with you i don’t feel they wil rise today n tomorrow very high.i stil see the downward stop hunt today and even early tomorrow.

  19. on 17 Aug 2009 at 4:31 pm19Arun Kandyal

    but expecting they wil not cut todays low

  20. on 17 Aug 2009 at 4:33 pm20Arun Kandyal

    atleast for today

  21. on 17 Aug 2009 at 4:33 pm21Chris

    The only supps i’m looking at for another good stp hnt are 1.6070 n then 1.5980/90 … thats gonna smart.

  22. on 17 Aug 2009 at 4:42 pm22Arun Kandyal

    in that way ,they only can gain downward level not profit cause mostly traders wil afraid to committ positions. gbp has already drop around 800 pips from the year high, i dont feel it wil drop the area you mentioned.

  23. on 17 Aug 2009 at 4:53 pm23Chris

    I don’t believe we’ll see another extended stophunt like this one, though they may hold the low with swings tomorrow and rise wednesday through week-end.

  24. on 17 Aug 2009 at 5:01 pm24Ange

    Where is the good Dr? a bit of moral support will be helpful:)

  25. on 17 Aug 2009 at 5:12 pm25johnra

    Dear Jimbo and Arun
    I confirmed with doc that this was a week beginning false move.So, it cant go on for too long because wednesday is midweek.I think we will have a little more luck tomorrow.Kind Regards

  26. on 17 Aug 2009 at 5:13 pm26jimbo

    Dr is calming his paying clients :-)

  27. on 17 Aug 2009 at 6:35 pm27jefe

    It looks like they are rising up on low volume for the past few hours- to entice buyers. There has been some buying- but not enough for the 500pip rise some are looking for this week. We need at least 1 high volume 4hr doji (and usually 2-3) to get those kind of pips. If they induce enough traders going long today (w/small rise)- then a good stop hunt down tomorrow (today’s lows or a bit more) today’s buyers will cut(and tomorrows short sellers “locked”)- and then the players will be able to buy into the selling- creating the 4hr doji and enough to rise for weekend…Accumulation…

    .02 pips

  28. on 17 Aug 2009 at 6:57 pm28maxi

    area around 6070 could be safer, but honestly 315 is cheap for gbp

  29. on 17 Aug 2009 at 7:46 pm29maxi

    its typical week-beginning false move, and helped by end of last week bearish feel, now we will see rise, as doc says

  30. on 17 Aug 2009 at 8:25 pm30jimbo

    Most analysts are recommending a short on GBP upto 1.64, if we manage to go above this level then we can expect some sort of reasonable rise, until then GBP will remain weak.

  31. on 18 Aug 2009 at 2:37 am31su25

    Doc is forecasting based on his algorithm, and fine tuning the players’ intentions indirectly by interpreting the readers’ comments.

    Readers who are commenting here on the likely moves of players are most likely “guesstimates” and not backed by any tools such as algorithm. In my opinion, such “guesstimates” are not too helpful in taking any meaningful trades, but an expression of hope, of course I may be wrong.

  32. on 18 Aug 2009 at 6:09 am32Arun Kandyal

    Chris could you tell me what is the Dr forecast for today actualy missed the webinar. what he said about gbp and expected moves thx.

  33. on 18 Aug 2009 at 6:23 am33Christophe

    sorry arun missed it too. n nothing in blog guess swings and rise….

  34. on 18 Aug 2009 at 6:24 am34Chris

    sorry arun missed too i guess swings and rise?

  35. on 18 Aug 2009 at 6:51 am35Mohi

    Chris, Arun

    Doc said japanese session and european session rise, a dip b4 us session then a quick rise. Hope it helps. Regs..

  36. on 18 Aug 2009 at 7:01 am36Chris

    Thanks Mohi

  37. on 18 Aug 2009 at 7:12 am37Arun Kandyal

    thx Mohi

  38. on 18 Aug 2009 at 7:21 am38Venky

    thanks mohi

  39. on 18 Aug 2009 at 8:24 am39maxi

    su25 - when you understand doc’s algorithm better you will not say ‘guesstimates’ any more

  40. on 18 Aug 2009 at 8:27 am40maxi

    most analysts do not take players intentions to consideration, thus will say 1.64 is roof on rise, do not mistake price action for like gravity on charts, there is no gravity, just buying and selling pressure

  41. on 18 Aug 2009 at 8:43 am41su25

    maxi - I DID NOT refer to Doc’s algorith as guesstimate. I referred to READERS’ expectations/opinions on players’ action posted in this blog as guesstimates, because the READERS DO NOT HAVE ACCESS to Doc’s algorithm. Sorry for the misunderstanding.

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