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Operators' intentions read by Dr. S. Sivaraman, of i-knowindices.com

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Drop to rise big

Posted on August 25, 2009 at 7:03 in Market comment, Market forecast, Operators' intentions by Dr. S. Sivaraman

EURO and GBP have made the drop below low towards Japanese session close after brief firming up move.They are expected to swing and firm up during european session.After brief dip they are expected to rise during US session.

Volatile moves to prevail during last week of the month -trend reversal time.

Regards

Dr.Sivaraman

17 Responses to “Drop to rise big”

  1. on 25 Aug 2009 at 7:13 am1prince

    hi . stg is going down. do u expect it to bounce back?

  2. on 25 Aug 2009 at 7:33 am2jaydee

    Dear doctor, Have they started building sell positions or they are building buying positions now to rise and will later build selling positions to drop as a trend reversal??
    Regards

  3. on 25 Aug 2009 at 10:54 am3Sum

    Dear doctor, do the trend reversal starts now for majors?,

    Thank you,

    Sum

  4. on 25 Aug 2009 at 11:04 am4Emil

    Dear Dr. Many thanks for forecast. How do you see UY today?
    thanks, E

  5. on 25 Aug 2009 at 11:20 am5Susumi

    Dear Dr.

    Thanks for your forecaste.unfortunatelly we are seeing sell pressure last three days.But still you think it can go above yestarday’s high? before reacing that level,maximum investers will get call margin for their positions. please express your veiw in this regard.
    Thanks and regards,
    Ssumi

  6. on 25 Aug 2009 at 11:21 am6su25

    Dear Doc
    Over the past 2-3 weeks you have been expecting Eur, Gbp and Jpy to post new season highs. This seems to be your trigger (pre-condition) for a trend reversal. However, price action has been OVERALL against your expectations/forecast. And, for this you say that your trading strategy is useful. If my understanding is correct, your trading strategy discussed several times in this blog and your webinars comprise of primarily buying/selling near the low/high with a hedging order in place and a stop at entry once the trade is in the money by 30-50 pips.
    My queries:
    1. If I were to open a buy/sell trade at any level, (not necessarily in the direction of your forecast), and use hedging strategy, would the results would be any different?
    2. Gbp has posted closer to 700 pips below the season high, but your view has not changed. However, you expect USD to be stronger next month. Why?
    3. I find that eventually the high and the reversal forecast by you does happen, but your timing is off by a few weeks. This is true for the monthly trend reversals as well as multi-year trend reversals. Do you need to fine tune your algorithm?
    4. In view of 3 above, what strategy do you recommend for day trading.
    I also notice that comments from readers have reduced considerably recently, and you do not reply to all queries, instead give new posts. Any particular reason?
    Thanks and regards
    su25

  7. on 25 Aug 2009 at 11:49 am7grow

    I have just started trading with the good Dr over the pst couple of weeks and I find his intraday trading outlook and updates very helpful,very useful and profitable. I think picking trend reversals is very difficult n the timing and I have not seen anyone get it absolutely right. But his intraday trading is excellent. I think also he is more into making profit ona consistant basis rather than for the long term hold.

  8. on 25 Aug 2009 at 11:54 am8smith

    Dear Doc,

    GBP is unable to rise significantly, what’s more, EURGBP is just rising and rising. The GBP is still unable to overperform the EUR When can we see the reversal in EURGBP as well as in GBPUSD?

    regards,
    smith

  9. on 25 Aug 2009 at 12:19 pm9Nazali

    I’ve been using the Dr trading strategy with very good results but hedging is a must. I read the forecast but try not to be strongly influenced and make intraday decisions on price action. The problem with any forecast is that it can lock your thinking. If I can get the overall short term direction from Dr I find that more helpful.
    I will continue using the Dr’s advice because I think slowly it starts to make sense as well as developing your own trading style to work with the Dr’s

  10. on 25 Aug 2009 at 12:38 pm10su25

    Nazali:
    Doc’s primary intention here is to help readers/traders develop their own trading strategy and trade without emotion and fear. You seem to have scored well on all counts.

    Others:
    It is very important to understand that each is responsible for their own trading decisions, and not get grossly influenced by opinions/analysis/forecasts of others and blame them for losses.
    I ocassionally draw attention to failures in Doc’s forecast here to ensure that new readers do not follow his calls blindly to later blame him. Doc is doing a fine job in ensuring that we trade without emotions by sharing his trading strategy (also his foreacst and readings of market players).

  11. on 25 Aug 2009 at 12:46 pm11jaydee

    Dear friends.
    I have been following doctors blog for around more than 2 months… beside evrything i.e profit and loss, i find it very helpful frome learning perspective and now i feel like i know about the market and its moves a bit more..
    Thanks and regards

  12. on 25 Aug 2009 at 12:49 pm12Arun kandyal

    Wheather Dr post reply of traders or not but with the Dr’s hardwork, efforts, understanding with the market which he is trying to give us traders , we traders are now able to understand that what is happening in the market.There is always a meaning behind the Dr’s forecast.sometimes Dr’s forecast does not work well and market moves against the expectations at that times we only need some patience and what we find aftersome time all knows very well.so Dr is not only a simple teacher and forecaster but also a genious of forex market.i have seen the market movements sometimes on Dr’s finger tips.His trading strategies works very well.

  13. on 25 Aug 2009 at 1:07 pm13Mevlut

    I have been following this blog for a month and i find it very useful till now. Sometimes, his expectations are not come true but no one can exactly knows the future. I learnt so much about the mechanism of forex by reading comments and articals in dr.’s blog. Thank you doctor.

  14. on 25 Aug 2009 at 1:20 pm14Dr. S. Sivaraman

    Dear All
    thanks for many questions.I am not replying to recent questions as i find the questions are pertaining to long term calls and if I give the long term forecast many small traders tend to hold the loss making positions for many days without proper trading strategy and money management.

    I wish the readers of the posts develop skill set to make intra-day trades to build equity rather than hold the positions for longer time and become addict to trading.

    if there is any change in the market trend then I will post the same as updates.

    Regarding denominator currencies - usd/yen,usd/chf and usd/cad i have explained many times that they are to test the patience of the traders and many questions are asked repeatedly whether they will rise or not? I am helpless as I cannot make them perform well.

    I thought of answering only specific questions to explain either forecast,trading strategy or market reading - but others may find that their questions are being ignored.hence I decided to give updates that may be helpful to all.

    I will review the needs of the small traders - but removing the market fear and developing market insight is in their hands- and help from time to time.

    Regards
    Dr.Sivaraman

  15. on 25 Aug 2009 at 2:02 pm15Nazali

    Hi Dr

    I think it would be better to answer selected questions relating to trading strategies and understanding the players. I have gained many valuable lessons from your answers to certain question.

  16. on 25 Aug 2009 at 2:37 pm16Ahmed

    Many readers here have gathered much information about Respected Dr’s trading method.It could be the reason for less responses here in blog otherwise participants are increasing in the daily webinars.Yes price moves,at times against the forecast but ultimately resumes in the direction of the forecast.In this situation, in my opinion, hedging or other money management strategies come into play.However if Dr,depending upon time available to him, can keep replying selected questions,it will increase the market insight of the readers.

  17. on 25 Aug 2009 at 9:46 pm17Peter

    Doc,

    i feel your calls have been lacking accuracy just lately so perhaps you need to review your algorithm, i know it is extremely difficult but inexperienced traders here, learning from your expectation of the players could have made some bad losses expecting the markets to go your direction especially if they were unhedged, and seeing as most of the traders here are probably small traders, it seems to me that it would be advisable to focus more on the needs of the small trader, if you are to help traders here to succeed, understanding limiting risk when your expectation go badly wrong is a must!!!! kind regards.

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