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Expected market moves before and after NFP data release

Posted on October 2, 2009 at 4:23 in Market comment, Market forecast, Operators' intentions by Dr. S. Sivaraman

EURO and GBP made the slide during US session without much recovery moves.The players are making slow swing and slide with brief pull backs - indicating they are still doing pump and dump moves to drop EURO and GBP before NFP data release.USD/YEN is also expected to  drop as contrarian move to recover along with EURO and GBP.

During Japanese session EURO and GBP are expected to make swings and slide towards close and firm up during gap time and early European session to drop from mid European session before NFP data release without giving much opportunity to take sell positions at higher levels.

During late European session EURO and GBP are expected to slide and drop with brief volatile moves as an impact of NFP data release and recover from late US session.

Monday they are expected to again make a downward drop as week beginning false move and then rise from US session onwards.market is expected to make till then lower level volatile moves with frequent downward stop hunts.

Regards

Dr.Sivaraman

28 Responses to “Expected market moves before and after NFP data release”

  1. on 02 Oct 2009 at 4:41 am1Francesco

    Good day Dr.Sivaraman,

    last monday I remember you were expecting big rise for this Friday and NFP data release.
    Did you change your view according to the last moves from the players?

    Are there chance that NFP data will be disappointing and USD recover firstly and fall again from mid next week?

    Thank yoU!

  2. on 02 Oct 2009 at 4:55 am2mz

    good morning
    doc is eur/us expected to cut yesterdays low of 1.4503.
    thank you

  3. on 02 Oct 2009 at 5:19 am3Gregor

    Dear Dr,

    is it possible forecast for U/E and U/G to translate into E/G cross: when USD is gaining, E/G cross is rising?

    Kind regards.

  4. on 02 Oct 2009 at 6:20 am4Ahmed Hanif

    Dear doctor, what is the expected move for Gbp?usd for the next week?…. Can it break the resistance of 6440 next week?

    Regards,

    Ahmed Hanif

  5. on 02 Oct 2009 at 6:28 am5Pantani

    Dear Doctor, earlier in the week you were predicting ‘a massive rise’ in EUR & GBP after NFP.

    This is not a criticism of your calls……I am just trying to understand what has caused you to change the forecast.

    As always …. many thanks for your guidance … I am learning a great deal.

    Regards Pantani

  6. on 02 Oct 2009 at 6:41 am6jaydee

    dear doctor,
    earlier someday you told in your webinar that players are not known to make week begining false moves when its a trend reversal time instead they make the trending moves..why the scenario is diffrent in this month?
    regards

  7. on 02 Oct 2009 at 6:56 am7pipso

    Dear Dr

    What I have learnt from you here at this blog, I expect eurusd or gbpusd to push for consistent rise from 3rd or 4th week, not next week, not next week. Thank you

  8. on 02 Oct 2009 at 7:02 am8Raj patel

    Dear All,
    Many of you had asked for the guidence notes, Which I think you would have received by now. Having read through it last night I see a few mistakes and unorderly compailing with false text expression.
    I dont profess to know all but having followed the blogg for 18 months and made notes on various approaches to market,
    I feel I should amend and reorganise it into a trading plan
    with highlighted caution and incooperate logical funtions.
    Those who had the chance to read can also brain storm ideas and express them to be added.
    feel free to email me if anything that wish should be there is missing.
    Regards
    Raj

  9. on 02 Oct 2009 at 7:18 am9David

    Dear Raj,
    I am a newbie and would really appreciate if u could email me the revised guidance notes. My email is dtptl@yahoo.com.sg

    Regards,
    David

  10. on 02 Oct 2009 at 7:21 am10Raj patel

    I see lots questions coming out this morning of what the doctor said and commented in the last few days.
    the tone is very much of why the currencies have not followed the doctors views:
    Firstly the views were expressed to cover a global point ie:for interday/day/week/postional.
    if traders have used intraday rules and set deals which point to daily or weekly then the doctors views will conflict short term.
    I feel that is whats happening.
    understand your intent and give yourselves time before jumping the gun.
    Give doctor the credit he deserves.
    regards
    Raj

  11. on 02 Oct 2009 at 7:25 am11carlab

    Raj,
    Would you mind tos end them to me as well?
    carloslabrad@gmail.com

    tks very much

  12. on 02 Oct 2009 at 7:28 am12Venky

    Raj - Can you send it to me as well at venkateshkc@gmail.com

  13. on 02 Oct 2009 at 7:31 am13Raj patel

    Guys and Girls,
    Please email me direct rather then asking here.
    This space could be valuable to someone follwing a trade and needing advice.
    fxx89@live.com

  14. on 02 Oct 2009 at 7:53 am14Constantin Lucian

    Hi Dr.

    What can we expect from eur/gbp? Thank you

  15. on 02 Oct 2009 at 8:05 am15smith

    Doc, today or next Monday can be the day when USDJPY will make downward stop hunt to reach 88.30 area? or what is your expectation? what can be the way of recovery in USDJPY?

    regards,
    smith

  16. on 02 Oct 2009 at 8:07 am16Raj patel

    Dear All,
    I have setaside Friday the 11th as deadline for all the input you wish to add to the Guidences notes:
    The catagories are
    Rules for:
    Intraday trading.
    Day trading.
    Weekly trading.
    Monthly(positional) long term trading.
    so hurry up and let me have your views.
    Thanks

  17. on 02 Oct 2009 at 8:55 am17Arun Kandyal

    Raj - Can you send it to me as well at brightwaytrader_800@yahoo.com

  18. on 02 Oct 2009 at 9:08 am18Raj patel

    Pheww, My mailbox is busting at the seems.
    I have setup a new mail box for notes only
    please use this from now on
    fxnotes@live.co
    Regards
    Raj

  19. on 02 Oct 2009 at 9:13 am19Raj patel

    Sorry,
    My marbles are busting at the seems
    the address is:
    fxnotes09@live.com
    My last post for now
    Cheers

  20. on 02 Oct 2009 at 9:18 am20Sam

    Dr, Can you please explain your thoughts on eur/gbp. There is no drop and no movement to .86 region.

    Thanks.

  21. on 02 Oct 2009 at 9:30 am21Sam

    Raj, my email to you got bounced back. are you sure fxnotes09@live.com is correct?

  22. on 02 Oct 2009 at 9:43 am22Arun Kandyal

    Raj same problem here my email to you got bounced back

  23. on 02 Oct 2009 at 9:47 am23Raj patel

    Guys,
    Please bear with me the P.C has crash. stick to other mailbox for now
    will be back soon
    Raj

  24. on 02 Oct 2009 at 9:58 am24grow

    Thank you Dr for keeping us informed as the market changes

  25. on 02 Oct 2009 at 10:22 am25Sam

    raj, a pc crash shouldn’t affect a web-based email account?

  26. on 02 Oct 2009 at 10:40 am26Raj patel

    Dear All,
    Right ok here we go:
    fxnotes09@live.co.uk
    Ta.
    Raj

  27. on 02 Oct 2009 at 1:15 pm27TheJade1

    I took the tips from Dr. that “USD/YEN is also expected to drop as contrarian move to recover along with EURO and GBP.” and short USD/JPY and EUR/JPY, these gave me about $2K profits in less than one hours after the released of NFP. Looks like I am having good luck for today.I am buying the JPY crosses up now and will take a hit and run approach.

  28. on 02 Oct 2009 at 2:11 pm28TheJade1

    I am paying the price of fighting the trend and sitting a huge unrealised losses with 15 lots of USD/JPY. I am buying into the belief that the quick drop will result in a quick rebounce. I am waiting for the rebounce. Any latest view on USD/JPY after the NFP? Appreciate insights from Dr and other experts here? Thanks.

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