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Month end -expected market moves

Posted on October 30, 2009 at 3:57 in Market comment, Market forecast, Operators' intentions by Dr. S. Sivaraman

EURO and GBP made the upward spike yesterday during US session as part of month end big volatile moves.

During japanese session they are expected to swing near high and slide some.During European session they are expected to make brief upward stop hunt and then slide from mid European session as market surprise.After further drop during early US session they are expected to firm up from low towards close of US session for week end.Month end time -quick volatility is to prevail.trade with caution.Quick moves are false moves in the market and are made mainly to gain levels and hit stops,not the real bullishness or bearishness of the currencies.

Regards

Dr.Sivaraman

32 Responses to “Month end -expected market moves”

on 30 Oct 2009 at 5:06 am1Anne Small

I always look forward to your reviews to get inside the mind
of the players.
on 30 Oct 2009 at 5:24 am2Francesco

Good day Dr.Sivaraman,

can we expect a drop towards yesterday’s low for today or early next week?

Regards,
on 30 Oct 2009 at 6:38 am3Greg Wilson

Asian session is slipping by and GBPUSD continues to drop, currently 1.6532
on 30 Oct 2009 at 7:56 am4Dr. S. Sivaraman

Dear Francesco
Either today during quick volatile move time or by monday we should see below yesterday’s low in EURO and GBP.
Regards
Dr.Sivaraman
on 30 Oct 2009 at 7:57 am5Dr. S. Sivaraman

Dear Greg Wilson
market is known to make swings till the volume builts up and then the one sided moves are seen - for week end the slide is expected.
Regards
Dr.Sivaraman
on 30 Oct 2009 at 8:21 am6Francesco

Thank you Dr.Sivarman,

Forex market really seems to move by bigger swings every month’s ends.

I will be following your webinars today in order to better track these moves.
As always, I do appreciate your help and support to us small traders.
on 30 Oct 2009 at 9:02 am7hugme

Dear Dr.,
“market is known to make swings till the volume builts up and then the one sided moves are seen …”
Could you tell us by what means we can have the clue of the volumn changes?
on 30 Oct 2009 at 9:09 am8Leon

hi Dr.Sivaraman
What do you expect EUR/USD for today or the Monday. I am holding Short @1.4750?
on 30 Oct 2009 at 9:29 am9Robin

Doc Fodya

Yesterday you told that it will slide and drop to hit the yesterdays low and after some time EU and GU rises and that too ,ore than 100 pips.What is this?Dont say that player did it for some purpose.We all know that player ride the market.you are giving wrong information from last 3 months.Atleast say that I was wrong.Yesterday if you had said that it will increase instead of falling then altogether it would have been a different scenario.Atleast reply?
on 30 Oct 2009 at 10:02 am10Ronan

Robin, what does Fodya means?
on 30 Oct 2009 at 10:30 am11glen

I always show respect to Dr. But I have to say that Dr. may have to make a few changes to his algorithm to give better forecasts.
on 30 Oct 2009 at 10:59 am12Ronan

Dear Doctor,

I am not going to show any disrespect to you, but the forecast doesnt work anymore, it has not been working for over 3 months minimum. If your goal is to help small traders, it is not doing it. Intra day forecast is definitely not working. I have been very blunt in the past, because I have lost my account following your forecast. I believe your model needs bit of twicking so it works. Timing is definitely improtant and timing you describe is not working out. Not sure whether paid subscription is better, but if thats the case, you must say so here and followers can choose to have classes of forecast.
on 30 Oct 2009 at 11:20 am13jimbo

Guys,
It’s been said many times before, you need to hedge or take smaller trades. If you find the Dr is wrong for 3 months why are you still reading his blogs, I don’t believe you are being forced to follow him ?
on 30 Oct 2009 at 11:42 am14Chris

Good tracking webinar . copied your trades pips in the bin ta.
on 30 Oct 2009 at 11:49 am15smith

Doc, what can we expect from USDJPY rest of the day?

regards,
smith
on 30 Oct 2009 at 11:52 am16Dr. S. Sivaraman

Dear Greg Wilson,,glen & Ronan
Day before yesterday I gave the posting for drop- risk aversion and also yesterday the risk appetite move and risk aversion move today.besides I also explained many times to limit the risk in the market we need to keep hedging order,and take very less positions, if we need to trade without stop then take positions only to 1-2% of the equity and after closing them we can take further positions.I am not here to say that the forecast is 100% accurate,there will be error in all human estimates,hence i am giving forecast and trading strategies together to earn from the market - if you suspect my intentions of helping small traders is not true,I will not be able to do beyond this.I am sorry if I misguided you.Please avoid following my blog to benefit from the market.
Regards
Dr.Sivaraman
on 30 Oct 2009 at 11:57 am17Chris

Dear Doc . your efforts by the vast majority who read this blog are appreciated and used in conjunction with their own strategies. as you say the ones that need to be spoon fed will always cry out.
on 30 Oct 2009 at 12:01 pm18Erik

Thanks Doc for your trade suggestions in earlier webinar: up 120 pips so far and counting….. who says this stuff does not work???
on 30 Oct 2009 at 12:01 pm19radha

Ronan,

Suggestions :

1) Take smaller trades…do not take std lots…suggest you take say 3 to 5 mini lots
2) Use Dr forecast as a additional SHORT term forecast instead of using it as intra day…This way you take smaller positions and have enough equity to ride the short term when the market moves contrary to Drs forecast…finally they do respect Drs forecast.

I was like you and lost my accounts few times…However over time you learn…..and ultimately I am responsible for my trading decisions and not Dr.

Cheers,
Radha
on 30 Oct 2009 at 12:02 pm20Chris

Yes quite right Erik. good start to the week end for sure.
on 30 Oct 2009 at 12:20 pm21carlab

Dc: Do you expect the EU to come off faster than GU, resulting in a lower EG? Or given big drop in EG lately do you expect the oposite? What your your Low/High targets for the EG? And which of the two will come first, pls? Tks very much
on 30 Oct 2009 at 12:22 pm22Erik

Doc, EUR and CHF triggered for me tonight (thanks). Am auto trailing 30 pips. Shall I just wait until it hits these trailing stops, or better to take profit somewhere along the line, e.g. 100 pips or so?
on 30 Oct 2009 at 12:33 pm23j.j

Dear Dr Sivaraman hi, your blog is one of the best thank you for all the good work.,pls pls keep update us with yr view as soon as you can.

regards
on 30 Oct 2009 at 12:42 pm24rich

Greg Wilson,,glen & Ronan

You guy have no idea how to use the Doc’s forcast or how to trade, or how to make use of other methods in addition to the Doc’s forecast.

You just want to blame someone because you do not understand money management, risk to reward or taking responsibility for your own actions.

You thought you could make some quick money in this business and you are getting hammered and crying in a public forum.

THERE ARE MANY PEOPLE HERE WHO ARE MAKING CONSISTENT PROFIT USING THE DOCS FORECAST because they have done the work for themselves instead of looking for a handout and quick riches.

Get a job and leave the trading to people who have a clue.
on 30 Oct 2009 at 12:47 pm25rich

Don’t waste time with the idiots who obviously don’t understand.
If you do not have a detailed trading plan then YOU WILL FAIL and most of you(the whining cry babies who know nothing but tell the Doc that he is wrong) will never take the time to do what is necessary. I have trained traders and listened to them whine for 3 years and you are all the same. LAZY, looking for free money and clueless.

WRITE A TRADING PLAN. STOP TRYING TO MAKE MONEY AND LEARN HOW TO TRADE.
on 30 Oct 2009 at 1:16 pm26Pico

Dear Dr. Sivaraman,

Thank you so much for your previous webinar. I LIKED A LOT!!! Now i understand when you said GAP TIME!
on 30 Oct 2009 at 1:20 pm27Pico

I just want to say: Dr. Sivaraman is the only one i follow, he is part of my trading plan.

Thanks!
on 30 Oct 2009 at 1:21 pm28PRINCE NG

Dr remains the best market analyst of our time.dangerous scalpers(those who risk
70% of their account),please stay away from here.you should learn from Dr. ALL HEY THE DR!!!!!!!!!!!!
on 30 Oct 2009 at 1:31 pm29rich

What’s killing me is that if any of these idiots actually know that something doesn’t work, then they should be making even more money going against it.
But they don’t know squat. One week idiot readers are trying to tell us how what they think the market is doing (like we actually give a damn what they think) and the next week they are saying how wrong something is. If you actually know something, then go do it.

THE DOC IS THE BEST FX TRADER I KNOW OF.

THe algorythim isn’t broken, it can’t be broken, your method of trading is.
on 30 Oct 2009 at 1:33 pm30Arun Kandyal

First of all you guys should learn to take responsibility of your trades then blame others.Dr forecast works well and most of all understand what he says all the time to use hedging to limit the risk but you guys anyway…
on 30 Oct 2009 at 5:02 pm31sadyk

I agree what doc forecast before, now and time to come, maybe what those idiots want is for doc to give them bed to sleep on after given them wife. You shouldn’t come here to abuse someone who is only helping the small trader like us.
on 30 Oct 2009 at 7:43 pm32Umesh

Thanks DOC this is working as per your prediction

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