Operators' intentions read by 
EURO and GBP made the slide from mid European session and after NFP data and unemployment rate they made the drop - traders jumped in a hurry and took sell positions during drop.But the players bought all after the traders commitment lower level sells and making the rise to induce short covering now, before the next slide they intend to do.So they wait for the traders to commit positions since many traders avoid taking positions before data.Now after the traders commiting positions the data is not important and the stops are important for earning for the players.
They are expected to respond to the data in another 30 min to 1 hr and say the unemployment rate is very high as if the market moves in tandem with the data.
hence I suggest not to sell during drop and buy during rise- they are emotional decisions and the players are there to trap such traders.
Regards
Dr.Sivaraman
Respected Dr,
Thanks for comments as they were badly needed.
Ur advice is sensibe one not to sell at dips and not to buy at higs.
Regards
Adnan butt
Respected Dr,
As Dow is high, gold is on its peak 1100, do u think there will imminent retracement in gold and stocks which will help to eur/usd to go down. or players intention is to go further up towards 1.5000 or 1.5100
Thanks
Adnan Butt
Doc,
Will GU now reach to 1.6600 and when it will start actually droping ????
Thanks
what level do u in gold after today high
plzzzzzzz must rep my Question thankz….
regards
FN
Doc, regarding USDJPY the drop has happened as you forecasted. It it worth to open buy position?
other question: is there any change in your forecast regarding USD gaining move which should be happened until next week? you mentioned that we can see USD gaining move unitl 2nd week of Nov but I think this kind of rise has not been in the forecast.
Dear Respected Dr,
Really hope you give your expertise view on scenerio as follows:-
” Opened position of “Sell” at 1.3995 since July’09, unfortunately at this moment still holding with unrealised loss, money mgt can only last till 1.6000″
Question:-
1) Should continue to hold (top up money if necessary) and wait till it drop till 1.4000 or
2) Should closed the position, if closed the postion what is the lower I shoud expect?
Regards,
Jlo
Dear All
Stock is expected to dip and rise from next week ,currencies to drop and rise from end 2nd week,gold is expected to drop and rise from 3-4 week.
Trade accordingly.
Regards
Dr.Sivaraman
Dear Doctor, are we going to see usd gaining move till 3rd week or till end of this month now? Are we going to open low in eurusd monday? Thank you.
Dear smith
yes around 89.50 we can open buy.
Regards
Dr.Sivaraman
Dear Dr.Sivaraman,
at current levels (1,49 and 1.658)and on sudden upspikes, EUR and GBP looks like a good sell opportunity to me, same might worth for gold.
Do you agree that in the coming weeks we could eventually see some more realistic USD gaining moves after the quite negative data we saw today?
Or do you think traders have not yet built enough long positions to be trapped down by players?
Is the algorithm also based on COT, ie the total positioning of traders abd their positioning flips and/or open interest?
Regards,
Just thought I’d say that your analysis is brilliant. Thank you Dr.
For the EUR/USD, I understand from you that the rest of Friday will be a slide with small upswings within the range of 1.4900 and 1.4800 (or perhaps just 1.4840) ?
Doc,
In the case of GBP/USD and EUR/USD, you mentioned they may cut the seasonal low (1.57 and 1.45 areas I believe) while making wide range moves to profit more. Is this still expected in the next 1-2 weeks or a longer time frame? Or is this no longer forecasted?
Much thanks, trying to better my position trading and curious as to the potency of the moves.
As always, thank you for your timely updates and market insights. They have proven very useful for me so far and I have learned much from attending your live sessions and blog.
Regards,
Chris
Dear Francesco
We could see more visible downtrend next week.The players build sell positions and being last day of the week they also induce the recent short sellers to book profit or stopout,there by when they drop next week thy could be the buyers with least buying pressure- so that they can trap the higher level buyers.The players are known to trap and earm alternatively from bullish and bearish traders.We could see the impact of it by next week end.
Regards
Dr.Sivaraman
Dear Chris
next week quick drop could tell us the possible lower levels they could show before the next rise.
Regards
Dr.Sivaraman
Doc, possibly there will be another upward stop hunt on Monday morning just for week begining, won’t it? If you expect just a dip on the stock markets, there won’t be much USD gaining move, perhaps 1.47 can be reachable in EUR.
But we will see…
It’s an uncanny coincidence that every time my account is close to a margin call, it’s due to taking the doc’s forecast as verbatim.
Sam that is a bit unfair he always says to take care and hedge. I’m like you I didnt hedge and neared my margin but it is my own fault. Also Doc is the only one that consistenly keeps us up to date. I do think he’s strategy is the best and whenever I played with the highs and lows and 30 mins I did well. So I cannot blame him for my mistakes. We hear also what we want to hear.
Sam,
you have yourself given the reason in your comment. “Verbatim”. My suggestion would be , when ever you hear “There upward stop hunt” Please translate it as “There is a higher chance of Upward stophunt which may/may not happen depending upon ongoing trading conditions ” . Similarly for other statements as well. the key word is “Higher chance” or “Lower chance”
Please note that is my view and not doc’s. It has worked for me
Doc,
You’ve been studing VSA (as you have mentioned in responses and now in your blog…)
I am impressed
sanosh/grow, if you haven’t already, I suspect you will understand what I’m saying one day.
Sam ,
Thanks for the best wishes but I know what you are saying and trust me I understand where you are at the moment. My comments was not to make you feel bad . I have been through that and I know nothing will feel right at the moment but trust me you will get through.
Santosh, No need to be condescending. I am already through it. I have seen the wood through the trees. My time listening to the Dr’s forecasts is over. A clock is even right twice a day. Monday is a new week and I look forward to trading what I see, not what somebody else thinks should/could/might/perhaps/is expected to happen.
Godspeed.
Sam, I feel for you. Once I am out of my eurusd position, I am done with this forecast business here. This doesnt work.
forecast wont work if you don’t have a good trading strategy.
sometime forecast can be wrong, and you can still make money.
My apologies Sam, condescending was the last thing I ever intended to be ….
All the best.
Seems like several people need to look at their money mgmt skills. Most “expert” traders say the rule of thumb is to not use more than 1% - 2% of your account. So, if you have $1,000 then you shouldn’t use risk more than $200. So however your platform works then just make sure you don’t have anymore than $200 of your usable margin exposed to risk at anytime. Personally I prefer to only have $50/$1,000 exposed and I rarely need to take a loss when in dd.
Become an expert in a pair. Watch it, plot it, graph it, analyze it. Determine when the big players want to make their $$$ by pushing it down and when they do it by pushing it up. It is cyclical, very cyclical. Obviously don’t sell at the bottom and buy at the top. If you’re at the top/bottom area then just wait, wait, wait. It will be worth it. Not being in a trade is better than being in a bad trade!
Several ppl that I trade with watched our pair for days and days and 2 weeks ago it got within about 100 pips of the yearly hi. Knowing how the players like to push that pair on certain days/week and certain weeks/month we knew that when it got up there it was most probably going to be a good sell trade. And it was! Within 5 trading days it dropped more than 700 pips.
Dr. Sivaraman has watched his favourite pairs long enough to know when the big guys tend to like to really push them up or down. Notice how he says the 1st & 4th weeks are usually the most volatile. He’s right. But you should already know that because you’ve tracked them. Just like he says the beginning of the sessions tend to be used to push the majors and the middle of the sessions tend to be used to manipulate the crosses, same with the weeks of the month. First & 4th weeks tend to see more volatility making the highs &/or lows for the month vs the 2nd & 3rd weeks.
But if you’re in this to make $$$ then you should already know these things. The big guys are the predators and your $$$ is their prey. They’re doing everything to analyze YOU to do their best to get YOUR $$$. YOU need to become the predator and their $$$ is your prey! Watch them, stalk them, determine in advance what they tend to do every day, every week and your chances are better that you’ll make some $$$ and not get gobbled up by a predator.
This is most definitely a game of survival of the fittest. Only YOU know how “fit” you are. Only YOU will be responsible for how your outcome in this game will turn out.
Dr. Sivaraman is doing the best he can with his tools that he’s created to aid you in making good trades but he doesn’t pull the trigger for you. If you’ve ever attended his 2 session “Basic Principles” webinar then you’ve seen him set up and take trades in real time and they’ve been profitable. He’s not God. He doesn’t have a crystal ball. But he has the next best thing - knowledge of how the players “tend” to push the markets. You can get this knowledge too. But it takes time, patience and desire. Fear, greed, impatience all lead to over-leveraging and you will most definitely crash and burn. And the players will be there to sweep up your $$$ into their coffers!
Game on!
Twitter fx
Probably one of the best posts ever.
Excellent post twitter fxi
twitter-fxi
thank you for the input;I think its better for every body to
read it not once but twice.
twit, (imo) an analogy is…it’s a bit like watching adverts during a tv show. if you see (read) it long enough, you tend to get absorbed in the moment and start to believe that what you are being told is the truth. If this happens continuously after a period of time you subconsciously lean towards trusting more than you should. Hence my (and I suspect many trader’s) downfall. The Dr talks about the players relying on traders having a short memory span and not remembering previous challenges. Maybe that statement is closer to home than we know.
Sam ,
it is interesting that you are still looking at the comments here and responding. From your reaction , I thought you will never come to blog ever.
Please dont misunderstand anything from my comment. It is just an observation.
It is always better to take nothing as granted.
santish, never going to listen to the doctor’s forecast again is what I said.
I’m confused 100 pips is only worth a penny so 500 pips = a nickel… What’s the big deal?
Doc nice call BTW— VSA Lessons must be paying off
(not to position during NFP)
GBP GDP release was shakeout- players bought cheap - 1.62-1.64 was accumulation (pump and dump– check previous blogs I asked –you ignored) — again shakeout on NFP — players bought more… Funny thing I read over the weekend– EU drop last week was only due to one mid east hedge fund diversifying from 1.50…
Sentiment is STILL traders shorting EU, GU, GY and Longing (80%!!! CHF)until this changes– maybe 1.70ish on GU long is where the $$$ is…
Be hedged Be happy…