Operators' intentions read by 
EURO and GBP made the drop yesterday during US session.USD/YEN was also showing negative net change along with them indicating another attact on the downside in usd/yen and yen crosses.Now the players have done the drop in all the above three pairs to recover quickly during European session and then are expected to make US session drop in EURO and GBP and nominal rise in usd/yen as usd gaining moves.
it is the beginning of the high volatile moves.
they are expeted to continue this sort of moves till mid january 2010.
tade with caution and try to keep stop at entry in your either way position once some profit is seen to avoid any big loss.please avoid over trading that may show quick margin erosion and trigger fear.
When two times very quick moves are seen as follow up move take opposite positions once they stop cutting the new low or high for 30 min and try to keep stop at entry and trail to maximize the profit.Volatility gives good trading opportunity when perceived correctly.Extended stop hunt moves are known to be shown during trend reversal times.
Regards
Dr.Sivaraman
Dear Dr.Sivaraman,
after two consecutive days attacking yen crosses, it might have arrived the time to buy.
I am considering to buy the weakness, but I doubt that we will see below 85 again before the rise.
Do you think USDJPY may reach area 85 - 85.30 during european or us session today?
That would be a safe level to start buying?
Regards,
Dear Dr.Sivaraman,
How much can be the different between the high & the low for EUR & GBP per day and week?
best regards
haisam
Great analysis Dr.
Hi Doc, Do you think that Euro/USD might go lower next week or coming month or do think that around 1.4900 might be the low until the end of the year ?
Do you mean that the strengthening dollar will continue until mid January?
I see today or the coming Monday could be very critical for EUR/USD to show its next 1-2 weeks’ direction. If it cut below 1.4820 and stays below the level for more than a few hours, it will trigger a big downward move (at least >100 points). If it fails to plunge within these few days, the wait for it to turn bear could be a long wait unless something unexpected takes place. The 1.4800-4820 has been a very stubborn resistant. A profitable sell opportunity for EUR/USD is coming and look for it patiently. This is just my 2 cents worth.
Good Afternoon Doctor,
Yesterday afternoon in your note you mentioned:
“Tomorrow a quick drop during japanese session” well this has become a reality. Was this read from your hatrick rule or by applying the absolute numbers based on daily gyrations?
Cycle work from delta or gann can give turning points but not as accurately as your analysis.
A little insight and brief explanation may useful.
Thank You
Doc, regarding gold I think we can expect a pullback to the 1200 area. What do you think?
Dear Francesco
there could be a drop during early US session in usd/yen for final move to induce long liquidation for week end and then reverse from there are for the up leg.similar to fall the rise will also be one sided in usd/yen.
Regards
Dr.Sivaranman
dear haisam
the net permissable limits in euro for a week - 350 pips and gbp 600 pips. per day 150 pips in euro and 250 pips in gbp - they are net changes from previous day close and not between high and low.
Regards
dr.sivaraman
Dear Jimbo
next week also Euro is expected to drop before the next trend reversal move to make rise.Such moves will be intra-day lows and could be formed very quickly during extended stop hunt.
Regards
Dr.sivaraman
Dear grow
No weakening or strengthening of USD as trending moves - there will be alternate wild moves - up and down moves = big volatile moves in short time frames.
Regards
Dr.Sivaraman
Dear Raj patel
the expected market moves are derived based on my algorithm.then fine tuned based on the market spread and reading of the intentions of the players.then the possible levels are determined.So basically a forecast is expected to give the next possible move - so that we can take position and book profit during that move.Tp do the long term trades we need to forecast and trading strategy to get the maximum benefit from the market in position trades.say sell around 1.51 area in euro and 1.67 area in gbp could have given good yield now - but if we think the market trend is up during that time - it will prevent us from taking good positions- the expectation may go wrong or there could be another leg of rise before fall,so for that we use trading strategy to capture the profit if they make such moves against us and still hold the sell to book profit during their intentional move.So fearless trading could result from such understanding of over all strategies and cunningness of the players and possible market moves including extreme moves.
Regards
dr.sivaraman
Dear Dr.
Very impressive analysis for the holiday move. I thought the market could be quiet. I was wrong apparently.
Are you still expecting euro to reach 1..55-1.58 around by the end of this year? or maybe the target will be less than that? or there will be more range trading for next month?
Thanks for your work!
Dear smith
Gold to expected to make one sided drop with nominal swings during consolidations.the rise takes longer time but the fall takes very less time - watch the drop this time- think of a falling knife.
Regards
Dr.Sivaraman
Dear Barry
When players started their old strategy of making big moves during holidays- they are going to be aggressive during year end and new year beginning time.So there will be 1100-1300 pips spread between high and low in euro and 1600-1900 pips in gbp during that time frame.
Regards
Dr.Sivaraman
Dear Dr.
today markets are falling heavily in asia and u.k. markets due to Dubai jetters…..is it correct or it’s a naturally profit taking before NFP data next week.can we expect euro again at 1.5100 before year end ?
Thanks !
Following my feedback earlier where I thought my luck was not very good today. In fact it was not that bad. I have liquidated my 3 lots of EUR/JPY with about US$2.2K profits while the unrealised losses for my USD/JPY position has also been reduced significantly. I love the market volatility. Wish all you also enjoy the turbulent waves and make good profits. I made close to US$6K for today, I am happy and feel being lucky.
11/26/2009 6:10:35 PM 8452476 Buy EUR/JPY 200,000.00 129.529
11/26/2009 9:41:49 PM 8466006 Buy EUR/JPY 100,000.00 128.281
11/27/2009 10:10:16 AM 8498948 Sell EUR/JPY -300,000.00 129.750
11/27/2009 10:10:16 AM Total: 2,197.94