Hello.
Will the USD/CAD continue to rise? Fundamentals aside, there is a potential good trading opportunity here.
Our analysis shows we will come back down before heading back up.

Is this analysis contrarian? Sure it is. The pair may break the previous high - however, this could be a wick where a lot of people get “wicked” out if it wicks up and then heads back down.
Since we’re near the previous high, one may consider a short here, putting a stop a way’s above the previous high to not get “wicked” out.
If the trade goes against us, we get stopped out at our stop, however, if our technicals are correct, then we’ll be in profit. If it goes our way, as the trade progresses more into profit, move your stops down.
To help determine your “stop loss” price, you may consider a risk vs. reward ratio - which varies from trader to trader. A general consensus is a 3:1 ratio (again, some may have a higher ratio or lower ratio).
If you put your stop at 25 pips, you would put your limit price at 75 pips (giving you a 3:1 ratio).
Again, this is completely determined by your own personal risk tolerance, trading style and money management.
Whatever you do, be sure to always put your stops in and adhere to your money management.