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Post NFP gives us a good dollar rally at the start of the week

Posted on June 8, 2009 at 6:11 in Market comments, Technical Education by David Aranzabal

After NFP’s dollar reaction, we were expecting volatility at the start of the European session. Either a big retracement (up to 100% previuos down leg) or second leg (up to 100% continuation previous down leg).

The Frankfurt opening broke the Asian Channel and strarted to make lower lows and lower highs all the way down.

2 Responses to “Post NFP gives us a good dollar rally at the start of the week”

  1. on 08 Jun 2009 at 6:43 am1su25

    Hi David

    Another way to draw fibs - from the high/low of Fri (intraday), the low of today is 138.2% too!

    And, for a few like me, who took a long (on demo) just before London open on a break of trendline and MACD divergene, while price was near asian session lows, it would be worth waiting for a break of previous swing low around 1.3885 to be surpassed before initiating a long!

    Sometimes, when everything lines up (break of trendline, MACD divergence, asian session low) - it is likely the trade may go against you - therefore, stops and money management gain importance!

    Keep posting those chart - I look forward to your posts everyday to compare notes and LEARN!

    Thanks and regards

  2. on 09 Jun 2009 at 3:32 am2David Aranzabal

    Hi su25,
    Yes, you can use either “Tom De Mark” trendlines extensions or Fib extension. They work similar.
    You took a really good trade. The MACD divergence was alerting us of a reversal at Asian lows, but today because of strong fundamental we were expecting a breakout. (Waiting for the final direction, up or down) as I mentioned on the post.

    Thanks for your participation!

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